Football · Mexico Liga MX · 29/10, 04:00

Prediction: Club America vs Tijuana

Team pages: Club America · Tijuana

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Club America2.23

Tijuana0.83

1X2

68% 20% 12%

Club America Draw Tijuana

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Club America 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDWDWW

Tijuana 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWLDLDDD

Head-to-head

Club America 2–4–0 Tijuana (6 last)

Tijuana0-0Club America
Club America3-1Tijuana
Club America1-1Tijuana
Tijuana2-2Club America
Tijuana2-2Club America
Tijuana0-2Club America

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club America 1560 · Tijuana 1484

	Club America	Draw	Tijuana
Our model	68%	20%	12%
Market	68%	20%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club America (rating 1560 vs 1484).
H2H favours Club America: 2-4-0.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club America	Tijuana
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1.5	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.4	3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.38

X4.75

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.80

2 (+1.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.38	Bet365 1.38
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:08 +1’	1.38	4.75	8.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club America 2–4–0 Tijuana

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/01/26 Mexico Liga MX	Tijuana	0-0 HT 0-0	Club America
17/07/25 Mexico Liga MX	Club America	3-1 HT 1-0	Tijuana
17/01/25 Mexico Liga MX	Club America	1-1 HT 0-1	Tijuana
22/11/24 Mexico Liga MX	Tijuana	2-2 HT 1-0	Club America
24/10/24 Mexico Liga MX	Tijuana	2-2 HT 1-1	Club America
14/01/24 Mexico Liga MX	Tijuana	0-2 HT 0-0	Club America

Standings · Mexico Liga MX

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club America	12	8	3	1	32	16	27
2	Chivas Guadalajara	14	7	5	2	21	12	26
3	Toluca	14	6	5	3	29	19	23
4	Cruz Azul	13	7	2	4	29	22	23
5	Leon	14	6	4	4	21	18	22
6	Atlas	13	6	3	4	21	23	21
7	Monterrey	13	6	2	5	23	18	20
8	Queretaro	12	6	2	4	16	15	20
9	Santos Laguna	13	6	1	6	19	16	19
10	Atletico San Luis	14	5	4	5	19	22	19
11	Tijuana	12	4	5	3	17	16	17
12	Unam Pumas	14	4	5	5	20	23	17
13	Puebla	13	4	4	5	13	17	16
14	Tigres UANL	14	3	6	5	15	19	15
15	Atlante	14	3	5	6	14	20	14
16	Pachuca	13	3	4	6	20	18	13
17	Necaxa	14	2	4	8	16	27	10
18	Juarez FC	14	1	2	11	9	33	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club America	Tijuana
Atlas	5-2 W	2-3 L
Chivas Guadalajara	2-2 D	2-5 L
Cruz Azul	3-4 L	2-1 W
Puebla	2-0 W	0-0 D
Juarez FC	2-1 W	1-1 D
Atletico San Luis	3-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Club America (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club America

WWWWLDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/10	Atlas Mexico Liga MX	2-0	5-2	4	3	W
18/10	Leon Mexico Liga MX	2-0	5-3	2	8	W
11/10	Monterrey Mexico Liga MX	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
28/09	Necaxa Mexico Liga MX	2-2	4-2	5	5	W
20/09	Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX	0-2	2-2	4	4	D
13/09	Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX	0-3	3-4	9	7	L
30/08	Puebla Mexico Liga MX	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
22/08	Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX	1-1	2-1	7	6	W
17/08	Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX	1-0	3-0	10	3	W
03/08	Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX	1-0	3-0	4	1	W

Tijuana

DWLWLDLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/10	Toluca Mexico Liga MX	1-0	2-2	5	0	D
17/10	Puebla Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-0	12	4	D
11/10	Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX	1-0	1-1	6	9	D
26/09	Atlas Mexico Liga MX	2-1	2-3	5	4	L
21/09	Pachuca Mexico Liga MX	2-0	2-2	0	3	D
12/09	Queretaro Mexico Liga MX	0-1	0-1	13	5	L
29/08	Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
23/08	Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX	0-3	2-5	4	4	L
17/08	Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
01/08	Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-0	1	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club America vs Tijuana?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club America win (68%). Probabilities: Club America 68%, draw 20%, Tijuana 12%.

How many goals are expected in Club America vs Tijuana?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Club America 2.23 · Tijuana 0.83), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Club America vs Tijuana?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.