Football · Mexico Liga MX · 31/10, 02:00

Prediction: Juarez FC vs Queretaro

Team pages: Juarez FC · Queretaro

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Juarez FC1.19

Queretaro1.57

1X2

28% 26% 45%

Juarez FC Draw Queretaro

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Juarez FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLDLLD

Queretaro 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLWWDWWLLL

Head-to-head

Juarez FC 1–1–4 Queretaro (6 last)

Queretaro1-1Juarez FC
Juarez FC1-2Queretaro
Juarez FC0-2Queretaro
Queretaro1-2Juarez FC
Queretaro1-0Juarez FC
Juarez FC0-3Queretaro

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Juarez FC 1407 · Queretaro 1510

	Juarez FC	Draw	Queretaro
Our model	28%	27%	45%
Market	29%	25%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Queretaro (rating 1407 vs 1510).
H2H favours Queretaro: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Juarez FC	Queretaro
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.1	1.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0	3.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.60

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.02

2 (-0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.30 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9% Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:14 +3’	3.20	3.60	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:51 +23’	2.97	3.59	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Juarez FC 1–1–4 Queretaro

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/04/26 Mexico Liga MX	Queretaro	1-1 HT 0-0	Juarez FC
08/11/25 Mexico Liga MX	Juarez FC	1-2 HT 0-2	Queretaro
21/04/25 Mexico Liga MX	Juarez FC	0-2 HT 0-0	Queretaro
02/11/24 Mexico Liga MX	Queretaro	1-2 HT 0-2	Juarez FC
16/03/24 Mexico Liga MX	Queretaro	1-0 HT 1-0	Juarez FC
06/11/23 Mexico Liga MX	Juarez FC	0-3 HT 0-1	Queretaro

Standings · Mexico Liga MX

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club America	13	8	3	2	33	18	27
2	Cruz Azul	14	8	2	4	32	23	26
3	Chivas Guadalajara	14	7	5	2	21	12	26
4	Atlas	14	7	3	4	25	26	24
5	Toluca	14	6	5	3	29	19	23
6	Leon	14	6	4	4	21	18	22
7	Monterrey	13	6	2	5	23	18	20
8	Tijuana	13	5	5	3	21	17	20
9	Queretaro	13	6	2	5	17	18	20
10	Santos Laguna	14	6	1	7	20	20	19
11	Atletico San Luis	14	5	4	5	19	22	19
12	Unam Pumas	14	4	5	5	20	23	17
13	Pachuca	14	4	4	6	22	19	16
14	Puebla	14	4	4	6	16	21	16
15	Tigres UANL	14	3	6	5	15	19	15
16	Atlante	14	3	5	6	14	20	14
17	Necaxa	14	2	4	8	16	27	10
18	Juarez FC	14	1	2	11	9	33	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Juarez FC	Queretaro
Atlante	0-1 L	2-0 W
Cruz Azul	0-5 L	1-3 L
Tijuana	1-1 D	1-0 W
Leon	1-2 L	1-1 D
Santos Laguna	1-2 L	0-5 L
Toluca	0-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Queretaro (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Juarez FC

LLLLWLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Necaxa Mexico Liga MX	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
21/10	Atlante Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-1	8	6	L
18/10	Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX	0-3	0-5	8	5	L
11/10	Tijuana Mexico Liga MX	0-1	1-1	9	9	D
28/09	Leon Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
19/09	Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
14/09	Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-2	6	8	L
05/09	Pachuca Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-2	1	10	L
31/08	Toluca Mexico Liga MX	0-2	0-4	3	2	L
22/08	Club America Mexico Liga MX	1-1	1-2	5	6	L

Queretaro

DLWWDWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX	1-3	1-3	8	2	L
21/10	Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-2	2	0	L
18/10	Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX	0-2	0-5	2	2	L
11/10	Atlante Mexico Liga MX	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
27/09	Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
21/09	Leon Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-1	8	7	D
12/09	Tijuana Mexico Liga MX	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
30/08	Atlas Mexico Liga MX	1-1	3-1	2	3	W
22/08	Toluca Mexico Liga MX	0-0	1-2	7	7	L
16/08	Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX	0-0	0-0	1	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Juarez FC vs Queretaro?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Queretaro win (45%). Probabilities: Juarez FC 28%, draw 26%, Queretaro 45%.

How many goals are expected in Juarez FC vs Queretaro?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Juarez FC 1.19 · Queretaro 1.57), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Juarez FC vs Queretaro?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.