Prediction: Monterrey vs Pachuca
Team pages: Monterrey · Pachuca
- Monterrey1-3Pachuca
- Pachuca3-0Monterrey
- Monterrey1-2Pachuca
- Monterrey2-3Pachuca
- Pachuca0-1Monterrey
- Monterrey3-2Pachuca
| Monterrey | Draw | Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| Market | 59% | 23% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Pachuca: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Monterrey | Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.5 | 2.4 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.6 | 5.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Monterrey 2–0–4 Pachuca
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Mexico Liga MX | Monterrey | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Pachuca |
| 14/07/25 Mexico Liga MX | Pachuca | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Monterrey |
| 28/04/25 Mexico Liga MX | Monterrey | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Pachuca |
| 26/01/25 Mexico Liga MX | Monterrey | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Pachuca |
| 08/07/24 Mexico Liga MX | Pachuca | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Monterrey |
| 11/02/24 Mexico Liga MX | Monterrey | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Pachuca |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 14 | 24 |
| 2 | Toluca | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 21 |
| 3 | Atlas | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 21 |
| 4 | Chivas Guadalajara | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 20 |
| 5 | Queretaro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | Leon | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 17 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
| 9 | Tijuana | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 16 |
| 10 | Unam Pumas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 16 |
| 11 | Puebla | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 16 |
| 12 | Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 14 |
| 14 | Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 13 |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 13 |
| 16 | Atlante | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 9 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Monterrey | Pachuca |
|---|---|---|
| Atlante | 2-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Atletico San Luis | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Leon | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Juarez FC | 6-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Necaxa | 1-2 L | 3-3 D |
| Santos Laguna | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Pachuca (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Monterrey
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/09 | Atlante Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 31/08 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 1-3 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
4-1 | 6-1 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 02/08 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 27/07 | Necaxa Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 19/07 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
3-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
Pachuca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Necaxa Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 27/09 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Atlante Mexico Liga MX |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 30/08 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 24/08 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/08 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 02/08 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 12 | L |
| 27/07 | Queretaro Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Monterrey vs Pachuca?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Monterrey win (59%). Probabilities: Monterrey 59%, draw 23%, Pachuca 18%.
How many goals are expected in Monterrey vs Pachuca?
The model expects 3.08 goals (Monterrey 2.03 · Pachuca 1.06), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Monterrey vs Pachuca?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.