Football · Netherlands Eredivisie · 08/08, 16:30
Prediction: NEC vs Telstar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.51Total
NEC2.45
Telstar1.06
1X2
NEC
Draw
Telstar
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
NEC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Telstar
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NEC
2–3–1
Telstar
(6 last)
- NEC1-1Telstar
- Telstar2-2NEC
- NEC1-1Telstar
- Telstar5-2NEC
- Telstar1-7NEC
- NEC4-2Telstar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · NEC 1475 · Telstar 1488
| NEC | Draw | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| Market | 66% | 21% | 13% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours NEC: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NEC | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 7.2 | 1.4 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NEC 2–3–1 Telstar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Netherlands Eredivisie | NEC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Telstar |
| 13/12/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | Telstar | 2-2 HT 1-1 | NEC |
| 05/04/21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | NEC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Telstar |
| 03/01/21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Telstar | 5-2 HT 3-0 | NEC |
| 07/02/20 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Telstar | 1-7 HT 1-4 | NEC |
| 30/08/19 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | NEC | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Telstar |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADO Den Haag | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NEC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Willem II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NEC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Sevilla Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 25/07 | Elversberg Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Al Fayha World Club Friendlies |
3-0 | 7-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | V-Varen Nagasaki World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Anderlecht Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 08/07 | MSV Duisburg Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 01/07 | De Treffers Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | Go Ahead Eagles Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-0 | 2-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Groningen Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Telstar Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
Telstar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Wolfsburg Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Sparta Rotterdam Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | FC Volendam Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Heracles Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | NEC Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 22/04 | Sparta Rotterdam Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | FC Groningen Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | PSV Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14/03 | Heerenveen Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NEC vs Telstar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NEC win (67%). Probabilities: NEC 67%, draw 20%, Telstar 14%.
How many goals are expected in NEC vs Telstar?
The model expects 3.51 goals (NEC 2.45 · Telstar 1.06), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in NEC vs Telstar?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.