Football · Netherlands Eredivisie · 16/08, 12:15
Prediction: ADO Den Haag vs FC Groningen
Team pages: ADO Den Haag · FC Groningen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
ADO Den Haag1.6
FC Groningen1.8
1X2
ADO Den Haag
Draw
FC Groningen
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
ADO Den Haag
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
FC Groningen
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ADO Den Haag
1–1–4
FC Groningen
(6 last)
- ADO Den Haag0-2FC Groningen
- FC Groningen0-1ADO Den Haag
- FC Groningen3-0ADO Den Haag
- ADO Den Haag0-1FC Groningen
- ADO Den Haag1-1FC Groningen
- FC Groningen1-0ADO Den Haag
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ADO Den Haag 1569 · FC Groningen 1486
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | FC Groningen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| Market | 33% | 25% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ADO Den Haag (rating 1569 vs 1486).
- H2H favours FC Groningen: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ADO Den Haag | FC Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.3 | 1.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ADO Den Haag 1–1–4 FC Groningen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | ADO Den Haag | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Groningen |
| 15/09/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Groningen | 0-1 HT 0-1 | ADO Den Haag |
| 26/01/21 Netherlands Eredivisie | FC Groningen | 3-0 HT 2-0 | ADO Den Haag |
| 20/09/20 Netherlands Eredivisie | ADO Den Haag | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Groningen |
| 14/12/19 Netherlands Eredivisie | ADO Den Haag | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FC Groningen |
| 17/03/19 Netherlands Eredivisie | FC Groningen | 1-0 HT 1-0 | ADO Den Haag |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | AZ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Groningen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Telstar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Feyenoord | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | FC Utrecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | NEC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | FC Twente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ADO Den Haag
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | AZ Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | Asteras Tripolis Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 24/07 | Lommel Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | KV Mechelen Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 24/04 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 17/04 | RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-2 | 4-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
FC Groningen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Valladolid Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Volos NFC Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 24/07 | FC Volendam Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | AEK Athens Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | FC Emmen Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 08/07 | Heracles Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 21/05 | Ajax Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Heracles Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | NEC Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ADO Den Haag vs FC Groningen?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Groningen win (42%). Probabilities: ADO Den Haag 34%, draw 25%, FC Groningen 42%.
How many goals are expected in ADO Den Haag vs FC Groningen?
The model expects 3.41 goals (ADO Den Haag 1.6 · FC Groningen 1.8), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in ADO Den Haag vs FC Groningen?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.