Football · Netherlands Eredivisie · 16/08, 14:30
Prediction: Feyenoord vs Go Ahead Eagles
Team pages: Feyenoord · Go Ahead Eagles
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
Feyenoord2.35
Go Ahead Eagles1.03
1X2
Feyenoord
Draw
Go Ahead Eagles
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Feyenoord
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Go Ahead Eagles
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Feyenoord
5–1
Go Ahead Eagles
(6 last)
- Feyenoord1-0Go Ahead Eagles
- Go Ahead Eagles2-1Feyenoord
- Feyenoord3-2Go Ahead Eagles
- Go Ahead Eagles1-5Feyenoord
- Go Ahead Eagles1-3Feyenoord
- Feyenoord3-1Go Ahead Eagles
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Feyenoord 1611 · Go Ahead Eagles 1554
| Feyenoord | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 20% | 14% |
| Market | 66% | 20% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Feyenoord (rating 1611 vs 1554).
- H2H favours Feyenoord: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Feyenoord | Go Ahead Eagles | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 0.7 | 4.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 22/33/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.1 | 1.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Feyenoord 5–0–1 Go Ahead Eagles
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Netherlands Eredivisie | Feyenoord | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 09/11/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | Go Ahead Eagles | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Feyenoord |
| 30/03/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | Feyenoord | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 19/10/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | Go Ahead Eagles | 1-5 HT 0-3 | Feyenoord |
| 25/04/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | Go Ahead Eagles | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Feyenoord |
| 30/09/23 Netherlands Eredivisie | Feyenoord | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Go Ahead Eagles |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | AZ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Groningen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Telstar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Feyenoord | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | FC Utrecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | NEC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | FC Twente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Feyenoord
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Sparta Rotterdam Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Atalanta Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | Rayo Vallecano Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | Charleroi Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Club Brugge Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Dordrecht Europe Friendlies |
4-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | PEC Zwolle Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | AZ Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | Fortuna Sittard Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Groningen Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Go Ahead Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Willem II Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Luton Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | OFI Crete Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Lommel Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Apollon Limassol Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 08/07 | Almere City FC Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Top Oss Europe Friendlies |
4-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | SV Terwolde Club Friendly List |
– | 23-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | NEC Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | PSV Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Feyenoord vs Go Ahead Eagles?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Feyenoord win (66%). Probabilities: Feyenoord 66%, draw 20%, Go Ahead Eagles 14%.
How many goals are expected in Feyenoord vs Go Ahead Eagles?
The model expects 3.39 goals (Feyenoord 2.35 · Go Ahead Eagles 1.03), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Feyenoord vs Go Ahead Eagles?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.