Football · Netherlands Eredivisie · 16/08, 14:30
Prediction: FC Twente vs PEC Zwolle
Team pages: FC Twente · PEC Zwolle
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.6Total
FC Twente2.68
PEC Zwolle0.92
1X2
FC Twente
Draw
PEC Zwolle
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
FC Twente
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
PEC Zwolle
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Twente
2–3–1
PEC Zwolle
(6 last)
- FC Twente1-1PEC Zwolle
- PEC Zwolle1-0FC Twente
- PEC Zwolle1-1FC Twente
- FC Twente1-1PEC Zwolle
- PEC Zwolle1-2FC Twente
- FC Twente3-1PEC Zwolle
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Twente 1505 · PEC Zwolle 1437
| FC Twente | Draw | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| Market | 74% | 16% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Twente (rating 1505 vs 1437).
- H2H favours FC Twente: 2-3-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Twente | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6.6 | 1.9 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.1 | 1.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Twente 2–3–1 PEC Zwolle
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 Netherlands Eredivisie | FC Twente | 1-1 HT 0-0 | PEC Zwolle |
| 10/08/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Twente |
| 13/04/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Twente |
| 14/09/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | FC Twente | 1-1 HT 0-1 | PEC Zwolle |
| 19/05/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle | 1-2 HT 0-0 | FC Twente |
| 20/08/23 Netherlands Eredivisie | FC Twente | 3-1 HT 1-1 | PEC Zwolle |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | AZ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Groningen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Telstar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Feyenoord | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | FC Utrecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | NEC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | FC Twente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Twente
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Heerenveen Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 06/08 | Dunajska Streda UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
2-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Genk Elite Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 30/07 | Ferencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 24/07 | FC Emmen Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 23/07 | Ferencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Gent Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 18/07 | Gent Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | PAOK Salonika Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Aberdeen Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
PEC Zwolle
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Ajax Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Hannover 96 Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 26/07 | AEK Athens Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Cercle Brugge Club Friendly List |
2-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Feyenoord Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Fortuna Sittard Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Heracles Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/04 | PSV Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Excelsior Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 05/04 | Go Ahead Eagles Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-3 | 0-5 | 8 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Twente vs PEC Zwolle?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Twente win (74%). Probabilities: FC Twente 74%, draw 16%, PEC Zwolle 10%.
How many goals are expected in FC Twente vs PEC Zwolle?
The model expects 3.6 goals (FC Twente 2.68 · PEC Zwolle 0.92), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Twente vs PEC Zwolle?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.