Football · Netherlands Eredivisie · 14/08, 20:00
Prediction: Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam
Team pages: Telstar · Sparta Rotterdam
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Telstar1.89
Sparta Rotterdam1.09
1X2
Telstar
Draw
Sparta Rotterdam
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Telstar
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Sparta Rotterdam
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Telstar
2–1–3
Sparta Rotterdam
(6 last)
- Sparta Rotterdam1-0Telstar
- Telstar4-1Sparta Rotterdam
- Sparta Rotterdam1-0Telstar
- Telstar1-1Sparta Rotterdam
- Sparta Rotterdam3-2Telstar
- Telstar1-0Sparta Rotterdam
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Telstar (rating 1509 vs 1444).
- H2H favours Sparta Rotterdam: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Telstar | Sparta Rotterdam | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3 | 2.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Telstar 2–1–3 Sparta Rotterdam
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 Europe Friendlies | Sparta Rotterdam | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Telstar |
| 22/04/26 Netherlands Eredivisie | Telstar | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 25/10/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | Sparta Rotterdam | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Telstar |
| 25/01/19 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Telstar | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 26/10/18 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Sparta Rotterdam | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Telstar |
| 06/01/18 Europe Friendlies | Telstar | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sparta Rotterdam |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | AZ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Telstar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Fortuna Sittard | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | PSV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | PEC Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | NEC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Telstar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | NEC Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | Wolfsburg Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Sparta Rotterdam Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | FC Volendam Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Heracles Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | NEC Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 22/04 | Sparta Rotterdam Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | FC Groningen Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | PSV Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
Sparta Rotterdam
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | MSV Duisburg Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 28/07 | Asteras Tripolis Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Zulte-Waregem Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | SV Meppen Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Telstar Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Excelsior Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Twente Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Go Ahead Eagles Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 22/04 | Telstar Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | PSV Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Telstar win (55%). Probabilities: Telstar 55%, draw 24%, Sparta Rotterdam 21%.
How many goals are expected in Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Telstar 1.89 · Sparta Rotterdam 1.09), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.