Football · Netherlands Eredivisie · 23/08, 16:45
Prediction: Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Feyenoord
Team pages: Cambuur Leeuwarden · Feyenoord
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
Cambuur Leeuwarden0.74
Feyenoord2.48
1X2
Cambuur Leeuwarden
Draw
Feyenoord
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Cambuur Leeuwarden
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Feyenoord
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cambuur Leeuwarden
0–6
Feyenoord
(6 last)
- Cambuur Leeuwarden1-4Feyenoord
- Cambuur Leeuwarden0-3Feyenoord
- Feyenoord1-0Cambuur Leeuwarden
- Feyenoord3-1Cambuur Leeuwarden
- Cambuur Leeuwarden2-3Feyenoord
- Cambuur Leeuwarden1-2Feyenoord
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cambuur Leeuwarden 1435 · Feyenoord 1597
| Cambuur Leeuwarden | Draw | Feyenoord | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 17% | 75% |
| Market | 9% | 17% | 75% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Feyenoord (rating 1435 vs 1597).
- H2H favours Feyenoord: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cambuur Leeuwarden | Feyenoord | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2 | 2.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/33/56% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.4 | 3.3 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 1.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cambuur Leeuwarden 0–0–6 Feyenoord
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/25 Europe Friendlies | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Feyenoord |
| 16/04/23 Netherlands Eredivisie | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Feyenoord |
| 10/11/22 Netherlands Eredivisie | Feyenoord | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cambuur Leeuwarden |
| 20/02/22 Netherlands Eredivisie | Feyenoord | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Cambuur Leeuwarden |
| 24/10/21 Netherlands Eredivisie | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Feyenoord |
| 19/12/19 Netherlands Cup | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Feyenoord |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Groningen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | PSV | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Feyenoord | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | NEC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Twente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Telstar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | ADO Den Haag | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cambuur Leeuwarden | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| FC Dordrecht | 1-1 D | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Feyenoord (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cambuur Leeuwarden
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Fortuna Sittard Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 07/08 | Excelsior Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-3 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Bologna Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | Volos NFC Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 24/07 | FC Utrecht Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/07 | Roda JC Europe Friendlies |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Excelsior Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 17/04 | De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 10/04 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 06/04 | FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
Feyenoord
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Go Ahead Eagles Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 09/08 | Sparta Rotterdam Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Atalanta Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | Rayo Vallecano Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | Charleroi Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Club Brugge Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Dordrecht Europe Friendlies |
4-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | PEC Zwolle Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | AZ Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | Fortuna Sittard Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Feyenoord?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Feyenoord win (75%). Probabilities: Cambuur Leeuwarden 9%, draw 17%, Feyenoord 75%.
How many goals are expected in Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Feyenoord?
The model expects 3.22 goals (Cambuur Leeuwarden 0.74 · Feyenoord 2.48), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Feyenoord?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.