Football · Netherlands Eredivisie · 23/08, 12:15
Prediction: Go Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag
Team pages: Go Ahead Eagles · ADO Den Haag
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.99Total
Go Ahead Eagles2.54
ADO Den Haag1.45
1X2
Go Ahead Eagles
Draw
ADO Den Haag
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Go Ahead Eagles
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
ADO Den Haag
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Go Ahead Eagles
2–1–2
ADO Den Haag
(5 last)
- ADO Den Haag1-0Go Ahead Eagles
- Go Ahead Eagles3-1ADO Den Haag
- ADO Den Haag3-0Go Ahead Eagles
- Go Ahead Eagles1-0ADO Den Haag
- ADO Den Haag1-1Go Ahead Eagles
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Go Ahead Eagles 1553 · ADO Den Haag 1538
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | ADO Den Haag | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 20% | 20% |
| Market | 59% | 23% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Go Ahead Eagles | ADO Den Haag | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4.2 / 1.2 | 2.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/33/44% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 4.1 | 2.7 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Go Ahead Eagles 2–1–2 ADO Den Haag
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/23 Netherlands Cup | ADO Den Haag | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 11/02/17 Netherlands Eredivisie | Go Ahead Eagles | 3-1 HT 1-0 | ADO Den Haag |
| 06/08/16 Netherlands Eredivisie | ADO Den Haag | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 25/01/15 Netherlands Eredivisie | Go Ahead Eagles | 1-0 HT 1-0 | ADO Den Haag |
| 20/09/14 Netherlands Eredivisie | ADO Den Haag | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Go Ahead Eagles |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Groningen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | PSV | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Feyenoord | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | NEC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Twente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Telstar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | ADO Den Haag | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Go Ahead Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Feyenoord Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 08/08 | Willem II Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Luton Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | OFI Crete Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Lommel Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Apollon Limassol Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 08/07 | Almere City FC Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Top Oss Europe Friendlies |
4-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | SV Terwolde Club Friendly List |
– | 23-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | NEC Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
ADO Den Haag
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | FC Groningen Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | AZ Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | Asteras Tripolis Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 24/07 | Lommel Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | KV Mechelen Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 24/04 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 17/04 | RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-2 | 4-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Go Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Go Ahead Eagles win (60%). Probabilities: Go Ahead Eagles 60%, draw 21%, ADO Den Haag 19%.
How many goals are expected in Go Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag?
The model expects 3.99 goals (Go Ahead Eagles 2.54 · ADO Den Haag 1.45), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Go Ahead Eagles vs ADO Den Haag?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.