Football · Netherlands Eredivisie · 22/08, 18:45
Prediction: Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht
Team pages: Sparta Rotterdam · FC Utrecht
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Sparta Rotterdam1.36
FC Utrecht1.42
1X2
Sparta Rotterdam
Draw
FC Utrecht
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sparta Rotterdam
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
FC Utrecht
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sparta Rotterdam
3–1–2
FC Utrecht
(6 last)
- FC Utrecht0-1Sparta Rotterdam
- Sparta Rotterdam2-1FC Utrecht
- FC Utrecht1-1Sparta Rotterdam
- Sparta Rotterdam1-4FC Utrecht
- FC Utrecht3-1Sparta Rotterdam
- FC Utrecht0-1Sparta Rotterdam
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sparta Rotterdam 1486 · FC Utrecht 1448
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | FC Utrecht | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 28% | 37% |
| Market | 35% | 27% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sparta Rotterdam: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sparta Rotterdam | FC Utrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.9 | 2.7 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sparta Rotterdam 3–1–2 FC Utrecht
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Netherlands Eredivisie | FC Utrecht | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 17/08/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | Sparta Rotterdam | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC Utrecht |
| 14/05/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | FC Utrecht | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 03/11/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | Sparta Rotterdam | 1-4 HT 0-1 | FC Utrecht |
| 23/05/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | FC Utrecht | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 12/05/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | FC Utrecht | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sparta Rotterdam |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | PSV | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Groningen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Feyenoord | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | NEC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sparta Rotterdam
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Telstar Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Feyenoord Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | MSV Duisburg Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 28/07 | Asteras Tripolis Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Zulte-Waregem Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | SV Meppen Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Telstar Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Excelsior Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Twente Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Go Ahead Eagles Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
FC Utrecht
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | AZ Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | FC Groningen Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Sevilla Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Cambuur Leeuwarden Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | De Graafschap Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Ajax Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/05 | Heerenveen Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Fortuna Sittard Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Ajax Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | NAC Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Utrecht win (38%). Probabilities: Sparta Rotterdam 35%, draw 27%, FC Utrecht 38%.
How many goals are expected in Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Sparta Rotterdam 1.36 · FC Utrecht 1.42), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.