Prediction: Fortuna Sittard vs AZ
Team pages: Fortuna Sittard · AZ
- AZ2-0Fortuna Sittard
- Fortuna Sittard4-3AZ
- AZ1-0Fortuna Sittard
- Fortuna Sittard1-0AZ
- Fortuna Sittard1-2AZ
- AZ4-0Fortuna Sittard
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | AZ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| Market | 23% | 24% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AZ (rating 1492 vs 1586).
- H2H favours AZ: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fortuna Sittard | AZ | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 2.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.6 | 2.8 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortuna Sittard 2–0–4 AZ
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Netherlands Eredivisie | AZ | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Fortuna Sittard |
| 21/12/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | Fortuna Sittard | 4-3 HT 2-2 | AZ |
| 23/02/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | AZ | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Fortuna Sittard |
| 06/10/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | Fortuna Sittard | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AZ |
| 17/02/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | Fortuna Sittard | 1-2 HT 1-0 | AZ |
| 01/10/23 Netherlands Eredivisie | AZ | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Fortuna Sittard |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | PSV | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Groningen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Feyenoord | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | NEC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fortuna Sittard | AZ |
|---|---|---|
| PSV | 2-2 D | 4-0 W |
| Olympiacos | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Genk | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| FC Utrecht | 0-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Feyenoord | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: AZ (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fortuna Sittard
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Cambuur Leeuwarden Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | PSV Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 31/07 | Apoel Nicosia Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/07 | Metz Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 17/07 | Olympiacos Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Genk Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 03/07 | Lierse Kempenzonen Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | PEC Zwolle Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Feyenoord Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
AZ
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | ADO Den Haag Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | PSV Netherlands Super Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Olympiacos Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 22/07 | Genk Elite Club Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Zulte-Waregem Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 18 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Gent Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | NAC Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Feyenoord Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | FC Twente Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fortuna Sittard vs AZ?
According to our model, the most likely result is an AZ win (54%). Probabilities: Fortuna Sittard 23%, draw 23%, AZ 54%.
How many goals are expected in Fortuna Sittard vs AZ?
The model expects 3.67 goals (Fortuna Sittard 1.45 · AZ 2.23), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Fortuna Sittard vs AZ?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.