Prediction: PSV vs FC Groningen
Team pages: PSV · FC Groningen
- FC Groningen1-2PSV
- PSV4-2FC Groningen
- FC Groningen1-3PSV
- PSV5-0FC Groningen
- PSV6-0FC Groningen
- FC Groningen4-2PSV
| PSV | Draw | FC Groningen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| Market | 70% | 19% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSV (rating 1559 vs 1503).
- H2H favours PSV: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PSV | FC Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 1.7 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 7.1 | 2.6 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PSV 5–0–1 FC Groningen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Netherlands Eredivisie | FC Groningen | 1-2 HT 1-0 | PSV |
| 23/08/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | PSV | 4-2 HT 1-1 | FC Groningen |
| 05/04/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | FC Groningen | 1-3 HT 1-2 | PSV |
| 23/11/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | PSV | 5-0 HT 2-0 | FC Groningen |
| 11/02/23 Netherlands Eredivisie | PSV | 6-0 HT 1-0 | FC Groningen |
| 23/10/22 Netherlands Eredivisie | FC Groningen | 4-2 HT 3-1 | PSV |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Groningen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | PSV | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Feyenoord | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | NEC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | FC Twente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Telstar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | ADO Den Haag | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PSV | FC Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Go Ahead Eagles | 4-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Ajax | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| FC Utrecht | 4-3 W | 2-1 W |
| Telstar | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| NEC | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: PSV (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PSV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Excelsior Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Fortuna Sittard Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Twente Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-1 | 5-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Go Ahead Eagles Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Ajax Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/04 | PEC Zwolle Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 6-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Sparta Rotterdam Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/04 | FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-2 | 4-3 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 22/03 | Telstar Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-3 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 14/03 | NEC Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
FC Groningen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | ADO Den Haag Netherlands Eredivisie |
3-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 21/05 | Ajax Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Heracles Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | NEC Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Excelsior Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Feyenoord Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Go Ahead Eagles Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 04/04 | Telstar Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | AZ Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PSV vs FC Groningen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PSV win (70%). Probabilities: PSV 70%, draw 18%, FC Groningen 12%.
How many goals are expected in PSV vs FC Groningen?
The model expects 3.76 goals (PSV 2.68 · FC Groningen 1.07), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in PSV vs FC Groningen?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.