Prediction: Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle
Team pages: Heerenveen · PEC Zwolle
- Heerenveen4-2PEC Zwolle
- PEC Zwolle2-1Heerenveen
- Heerenveen4-1PEC Zwolle
- PEC Zwolle1-1Heerenveen
- Heerenveen1-1PEC Zwolle
- Heerenveen2-0PEC Zwolle
| Heerenveen | Draw | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 20% | 21% |
| Market | 58% | 23% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Heerenveen (rating 1563 vs 1420).
- H2H favours Heerenveen: 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Heerenveen | PEC Zwolle | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.3 | 1.7 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 1.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Heerenveen 3–2–1 PEC Zwolle
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Netherlands Eredivisie | Heerenveen | 4-2 HT 1-2 | PEC Zwolle |
| 28/11/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Heerenveen |
| 09/10/25 Europe Friendlies | Heerenveen | 4-1 HT 0-1 | PEC Zwolle |
| 16/02/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Heerenveen |
| 06/10/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | Heerenveen | 1-1 HT 1-1 | PEC Zwolle |
| 03/03/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | Heerenveen | 2-0 HT 1-0 | PEC Zwolle |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | PSV | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Groningen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Feyenoord | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | NEC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Heerenveen | PEC Zwolle |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| FC Twente | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Fortuna Sittard | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Heerenveen (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Heerenveen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Ajax Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | FC Twente Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Volos NFC Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/07 | Club Brugge Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-2 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 03/07 | De Graafschap Europe Friendlies |
4-1 | 7-2 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Ajax Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 11/05 | NAC Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | FC Volendam Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Fortuna Sittard Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
PEC Zwolle
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | FC Twente Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 09/08 | Ajax Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Hannover 96 Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 26/07 | AEK Athens Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Cercle Brugge Club Friendly List |
2-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Feyenoord Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Fortuna Sittard Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Heracles Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/04 | PSV Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Excelsior Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Heerenveen win (58%). Probabilities: Heerenveen 58%, draw 22%, PEC Zwolle 20%.
How many goals are expected in Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?
The model expects 3.81 goals (Heerenveen 2.41 · PEC Zwolle 1.4), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.