Prediction: PEC Zwolle vs NEC
Team pages: PEC Zwolle · NEC
- NEC2-1PEC Zwolle
- PEC Zwolle2-2NEC
- PEC Zwolle0-1NEC
- NEC2-2PEC Zwolle
- NEC1-0PEC Zwolle
- NEC2-2PEC Zwolle
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | NEC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 23% | 55% |
| Market | 23% | 22% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NEC (rating 1444 vs 1501).
- H2H favours NEC: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PEC Zwolle | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.4 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.7 | 3.3 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PEC Zwolle 0–3–3 NEC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Netherlands Eredivisie | NEC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | PEC Zwolle |
| 25/10/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle | 2-2 HT 1-1 | NEC |
| 11/01/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle | 0-1 HT 0-1 | NEC |
| 29/10/24 Netherlands Cup | NEC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | PEC Zwolle |
| 24/08/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | NEC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | PEC Zwolle |
| 14/04/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | NEC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | PEC Zwolle |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | FC Groningen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | PSV | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Feyenoord | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | NEC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Twente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Telstar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| 16 | ADO Den Haag | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PEC Zwolle | NEC |
|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| FC Twente | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Feyenoord | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| PSV | 1-6 L | 3-2 W |
| Excelsior | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Go Ahead Eagles | 0-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 3 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: NEC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PEC Zwolle
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Heerenveen Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | FC Twente Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 09/08 | Ajax Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Feyenoord Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Fortuna Sittard Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Heracles Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/04 | PSV Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Excelsior Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 05/04 | Go Ahead Eagles Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-3 | 0-5 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 21/03 | NAC Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
NEC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Willem II Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Telstar Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-2 | 1-2 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Go Ahead Eagles Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-0 | 2-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Groningen Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Telstar Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | FC Twente Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | Feyenoord Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 04/04 | Excelsior Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 22/03 | Heerenveen Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 14/03 | PSV Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PEC Zwolle vs NEC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an NEC win (55%). Probabilities: PEC Zwolle 22%, draw 22%, NEC 55%.
How many goals are expected in PEC Zwolle vs NEC?
The model expects 3.39 goals (PEC Zwolle 1.29 · NEC 2.1), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in PEC Zwolle vs NEC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.