Prediction: FC Utrecht vs PSV
Team pages: FC Utrecht · PSV
- PSV4-3FC Utrecht
- FC Utrecht1-2PSV
- PSV2-2FC Utrecht
- FC Utrecht2-5PSV
- FC Utrecht1-1PSV
- PSV2-0FC Utrecht
| FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 21% | 57% |
| Market | 23% | 20% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PSV (rating 1465 vs 1566).
- H2H favours PSV: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Utrecht | PSV | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.8 | 3.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5 | 3.1 / 7.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.2 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Utrecht 0–2–4 PSV
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Netherlands Eredivisie | PSV | 4-3 HT 1-2 | FC Utrecht |
| 21/12/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | FC Utrecht | 1-2 HT 1-0 | PSV |
| 15/02/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | PSV | 2-2 HT 1-1 | FC Utrecht |
| 01/12/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | FC Utrecht | 2-5 HT 1-1 | PSV |
| 21/01/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | FC Utrecht | 1-1 HT 0-1 | PSV |
| 12/08/23 Netherlands Eredivisie | PSV | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Utrecht |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | PSV | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | FC Groningen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | NEC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Twente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Telstar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| 16 | Willem II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Utrecht | PSV |
|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam | 3-3 D | 2-0 W |
| FC Groningen | 1-2 L | 5-1 W |
| Ajax | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Fortuna Sittard | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Excelsior | 0-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Telstar | 4-1 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: PSV (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Utrecht
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Sparta Rotterdam Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 15/08 | AZ Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/08 | FC Groningen Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Ajax Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/05 | Heerenveen Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Fortuna Sittard Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Ajax Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | NAC Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Excelsior Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Telstar Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
PSV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | FC Groningen Netherlands Eredivisie |
3-1 | 5-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Excelsior Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Fortuna Sittard Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Twente Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-1 | 5-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Go Ahead Eagles Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Ajax Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/04 | PEC Zwolle Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 6-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Sparta Rotterdam Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/04 | FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-2 | 4-3 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 22/03 | Telstar Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-3 | 12 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Utrecht vs PSV?
According to our model, the most likely result is an PSV win (57%). Probabilities: FC Utrecht 22%, draw 20%, PSV 57%.
How many goals are expected in FC Utrecht vs PSV?
The model expects 3.83 goals (FC Utrecht 1.46 · PSV 2.37), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Utrecht vs PSV?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.