Prediction: Telstar vs Ajax
- Telstar2-3Ajax
- Ajax2-0Telstar
- Ajax2-0Telstar
- Telstar3-4Ajax
| Telstar | Draw | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 23% | 57% |
| Market | 21% | 21% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ajax (rating 1475 vs 1623).
- H2H favours Ajax: 4-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Telstar | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.7 | 2.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Telstar 0–0–4 Ajax
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/26 Netherlands Eredivisie | Telstar | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Ajax |
| 10/08/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | Ajax | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Telstar |
| 19/12/24 Netherlands Cup | Ajax | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Telstar |
| 18/12/19 Netherlands Cup | Telstar | 3-4 HT 1-2 | Ajax |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | PSV | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | FC Groningen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 6 | Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | NEC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | FC Twente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Telstar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| 16 | Willem II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Telstar | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Heracles | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| FC Utrecht | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| FC Groningen | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| PSV | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Heerenveen | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Ajax (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Telstar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Sparta Rotterdam Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | NEC Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Volendam Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Heracles Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | NEC Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 22/04 | Sparta Rotterdam Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | FC Groningen Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | PSV Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 14/03 | Heerenveen Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
Ajax
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Heerenveen Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | PEC Zwolle Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 21/05 | FC Groningen Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Heerenveen Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | PSV Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | NAC Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Heracles Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | FC Twente Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Telstar vs Ajax?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ajax win (57%). Probabilities: Telstar 21%, draw 22%, Ajax 57%.
How many goals are expected in Telstar vs Ajax?
The model expects 3.26 goals (Telstar 1.19 · Ajax 2.07), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Telstar vs Ajax?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.