Prediction: FC Groningen vs Ajax
Team pages: FC Groningen · Ajax
- Ajax2-0FC Groningen
- FC Groningen3-1Ajax
- Ajax2-0FC Groningen
- FC Groningen2-2Ajax
- Ajax3-1FC Groningen
- FC Groningen2-3Ajax
| FC Groningen | Draw | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| Market | 24% | 24% | 52% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Ajax: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Groningen | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.7 | 2.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.2 | 2.9 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Groningen 1–1–4 Ajax
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/26 Netherlands Eredivisie | Ajax | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Groningen |
| 07/03/26 Netherlands Eredivisie | FC Groningen | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Ajax |
| 02/12/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | Ajax | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Groningen |
| 14/05/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | FC Groningen | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Ajax |
| 06/10/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | Ajax | 3-1 HT 1-0 | FC Groningen |
| 16/05/23 Netherlands Eredivisie | FC Groningen | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Ajax |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | AZ | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | PSV | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 12 | 19 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 10 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 14 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 12 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 17 | 11 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 11 |
| 11 | NEC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 9 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 9 |
| 13 | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 8 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 8 |
| 15 | Telstar | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 6 |
| 16 | ADO Den Haag | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 6 |
| 17 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 4 |
| 18 | Willem II | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Groningen | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | 5-1 W | 2-2 D |
| PEC Zwolle | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Fortuna Sittard | 2-3 L | 5-1 W |
| PSV | 1-5 L | 1-3 L |
| FC Utrecht | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Groningen (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Groningen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Excelsior Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | PEC Zwolle Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Go Ahead Eagles Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | FC Twente Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 28/08 | Fortuna Sittard Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | PSV Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | ADO Den Haag Netherlands Eredivisie |
3-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 21/05 | Ajax Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Heracles Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Ajax
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | NEC Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Excelsior Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 15/09 | Willem II Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-0 | 5-1 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 12/09 | Fortuna Sittard Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 5-1 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | PSV Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 30/08 | Telstar Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 16/08 | Heerenveen Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | PEC Zwolle Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 21/05 | FC Groningen Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Groningen vs Ajax?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ajax win (52%). Probabilities: FC Groningen 25%, draw 23%, Ajax 52%.
How many goals are expected in FC Groningen vs Ajax?
The model expects 3.54 goals (FC Groningen 1.43 · Ajax 2.11), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Groningen vs Ajax?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.