Football · Netherlands Eredivisie · 25/10, 14:30
Prediction: PSV vs Feyenoord
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.85Total
PSV2.16
Feyenoord1.69
1X2
PSV
Draw
Feyenoord
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
PSV
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Feyenoord
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PSV
5–1–0
Feyenoord
(6 last)
- PSV3-0Feyenoord
- Feyenoord2-3PSV
- Feyenoord2-3PSV
- PSV2-0Feyenoord
- PSV3-0Feyenoord
- PSV4-4Feyenoord
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PSV 1587 · Feyenoord 1581
| PSV | Draw | Feyenoord | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 22% | 30% |
| Market | 48% | 23% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.85 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours PSV: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 14 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PSV | Feyenoord | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.2 / 1.3 | 3.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.7 | 1.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 90/0/10% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 7 | 3.9 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PSV 5–1–0 Feyenoord
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Netherlands Eredivisie | PSV | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Feyenoord |
| 26/10/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | Feyenoord | 2-3 HT 0-1 | PSV |
| 11/05/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | Feyenoord | 2-3 HT 2-0 | PSV |
| 05/02/25 Netherlands Cup | PSV | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Feyenoord |
| 22/12/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | PSV | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Feyenoord |
| 04/08/24 Netherlands Super Cup | PSV | 4-4 HT 1-2 | Feyenoord |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | AZ | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | PSV | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 12 | 19 |
| 4 | Ajax | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 12 | 18 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 17 | 15 |
| 7 | FC Groningen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 14 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 11 | 12 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 21 | 11 |
| 10 | Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 11 |
| 11 | FC Utrecht | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 26 | 11 |
| 12 | NEC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 10 |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 9 |
| 14 | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 9 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 7 |
| 16 | Telstar | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 6 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PSV | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| FC Utrecht | 6-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PSV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | ADO Den Haag Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 09/10 | Heerenveen Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | FC Twente Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Sparta Rotterdam Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Ajax Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-1 | 6-1 | 13 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | FC Groningen Netherlands Eredivisie |
3-1 | 5-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 15/08 | Excelsior Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Fortuna Sittard Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Twente Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-1 | 5-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
Feyenoord
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Telstar Netherlands Eredivisie |
3-2 | 4-3 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | AZ Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie |
3-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | PEC Zwolle Netherlands Eredivisie |
3-0 | 7-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 05/09 | NEC Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | ADO Den Haag Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Cambuur Leeuwarden Netherlands Eredivisie |
4-0 | 5-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Go Ahead Eagles Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 09/08 | Sparta Rotterdam Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | PEC Zwolle Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PSV vs Feyenoord?
According to our model, the most likely result is a PSV win (48%). Probabilities: PSV 48%, draw 23%, Feyenoord 29%.
How many goals are expected in PSV vs Feyenoord?
The model expects 3.85 goals (PSV 2.16 · Feyenoord 1.69), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in PSV vs Feyenoord?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.