Football · Netherlands Eredivisie · 23/10, 20:00

Prediction: Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar

Team pages: Go Ahead Eagles · Telstar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

Go Ahead Eagles2.3

Telstar1.16

1X2

62% 21% 17%

Go Ahead Eagles Draw Telstar

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Go Ahead Eagles 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDWLDDDD

Telstar 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLDLDLDL

Head-to-head

Go Ahead Eagles 3–1–2 Telstar (6 last)

Go Ahead Eagles1-1Telstar
Telstar2-1Go Ahead Eagles
Telstar4-2Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles3-0Telstar
Go Ahead Eagles1-0Telstar
Telstar1-2Go Ahead Eagles

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Go Ahead Eagles 1473 · Telstar 1455

	Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	Telstar
Our model	62%	21%	17%
Market	62%	21%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Go Ahead Eagles: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Go Ahead Eagles	Telstar
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.3	1.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 6.3	1.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.33

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.59 ★
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.9% Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
22:01 +154’	1.50	4.33	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:35 +12’	1.61	4.00	5.09
13:32 +65’	1.63▲	4.05▲	5.18▲
16:44 +1’	1.59▼	4.13▲	5.43▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Go Ahead Eagles 3–1–2 Telstar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Netherlands Eredivisie	Go Ahead Eagles	1-1 HT 0-0	Telstar
05/02/26 Netherlands Cup	Telstar	2-1 HT 1-0	Go Ahead Eagles
28/09/25 Netherlands Eredivisie	Telstar	4-2 HT 2-1	Go Ahead Eagles
03/07/24 Europe Friendlies	Go Ahead Eagles	3-0 HT 2-0	Telstar
13/02/21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Go Ahead Eagles	1-0 HT 1-0	Telstar
10/11/20 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Telstar	1-2 HT 0-0	Go Ahead Eagles

Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Feyenoord	9	7	2	0	31	10	23
2	AZ	8	6	1	1	18	8	19
3	PSV	9	6	1	2	27	12	19
4	FC Twente	8	5	2	1	16	8	17
5	Ajax	8	4	3	1	22	10	15
6	FC Groningen	8	4	2	2	20	14	14
7	Fortuna Sittard	8	4	2	2	14	15	14
8	Heerenveen	9	3	3	3	15	11	12
9	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	5	1	19	17	11
10	Excelsior	9	3	2	4	16	18	11
11	NEC	8	2	3	3	13	14	9
12	Sparta Rotterdam	9	2	3	4	16	22	9
13	Cambuur Leeuwarden	8	2	2	4	11	19	8
14	FC Utrecht	8	2	2	4	14	25	8
15	Telstar	9	1	3	5	10	18	6
16	ADO Den Haag	9	1	3	5	11	20	6
17	PEC Zwolle	8	1	1	6	6	21	4
18	Willem II	9	0	2	7	9	26	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Go Ahead Eagles	Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam	3-3 D	1-3 L
NEC	1-1 D	2-1 W
AZ	2-5 L	0-1 L
ADO Den Haag	3-1 W	2-2 D
Feyenoord	2-2 D	3-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Go Ahead Eagles (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Go Ahead Eagles

LLWDWLDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Sparta Rotterdam Netherlands Eredivisie	0-1	3-3	9	3	D
20/09	NEC Netherlands Eredivisie	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
12/09	FC Groningen Netherlands Eredivisie	0-1	1-1	9	1	D
08/09	FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie	1-0	3-3	5	3	D
29/08	AZ Netherlands Eredivisie	1-2	2-5	4	0	L
23/08	ADO Den Haag Netherlands Eredivisie	1-0	3-1	5	3	W
16/08	Feyenoord Netherlands Eredivisie	0-2	2-2	6	0	D
08/08	Willem II Netherlands Eredivisie	1-1	4-1	6	3	W
17/05	NEC Netherlands Eredivisie	0-2	1-2	4	3	L
10/05	PSV Netherlands Eredivisie	1-2	1-4	8	0	L

Telstar

WWLLDLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Feyenoord Netherlands Eredivisie	2-3	3-4	6	5	L
11/10	ADO Den Haag Netherlands Eredivisie	2-2	2-2	8	4	D
20/09	AZ Netherlands Eredivisie	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
13/09	Heerenveen Netherlands Eredivisie	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
09/09	FC Twente Netherlands Eredivisie	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
06/09	Cambuur Leeuwarden Netherlands Eredivisie	0-0	2-2	4	8	D
30/08	Ajax Netherlands Eredivisie	0-1	0-4	5	0	L
14/08	Sparta Rotterdam Netherlands Eredivisie	0-1	1-3	7	2	L
08/08	NEC Netherlands Eredivisie	2-0	2-1	3	4	W
17/05	FC Volendam Netherlands Eredivisie	1-1	2-1	0	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Go Ahead Eagles win (62%). Probabilities: Go Ahead Eagles 62%, draw 21%, Telstar 17%.

How many goals are expected in Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Go Ahead Eagles 2.3 · Telstar 1.16), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.