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Football · Netherlands Eredivisie · 31/10, 21:00

Prediction: Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Go Ahead Eagles

Team pages: Cambuur Leeuwarden · Go Ahead Eagles

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.01Total
Cambuur Leeuwarden1.86
Go Ahead Eagles2.14
1X2
33% 23% 44%
Cambuur Leeuwarden Draw Go Ahead Eagles
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Cambuur Leeuwarden 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LLLLDWDWDW
Go Ahead Eagles 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
WDWLDDDDLW
Head-to-head
Cambuur Leeuwarden 2–2–2 Go Ahead Eagles (6 last)
  • Cambuur Leeuwarden4-1Go Ahead Eagles
  • Go Ahead Eagles0-0Cambuur Leeuwarden
  • Go Ahead Eagles3-0Cambuur Leeuwarden
  • Cambuur Leeuwarden5-2Go Ahead Eagles
  • Go Ahead Eagles0-0Cambuur Leeuwarden
  • Cambuur Leeuwarden1-2Go Ahead Eagles
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cambuur Leeuwarden 1490 · Go Ahead Eagles 1492
Cambuur LeeuwardenDrawGo Ahead Eagles
Our model34%22%44%
Market32%24%43%
Estimated total (ours) 4.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Cambuur LeeuwardenGo Ahead Eagles
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 2.22.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 1.20.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/20/40%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.81.8 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.21.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cambuur Leeuwarden 2–2–2 Go Ahead Eagles

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/03/23
Netherlands Eredivisie
Cambuur Leeuwarden4-1
HT 2-1
Go Ahead Eagles
09/10/22
Netherlands Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles0-0
HT 0-0
Cambuur Leeuwarden
19/03/22
Netherlands Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles3-0
HT 2-0
Cambuur Leeuwarden
11/09/21
Netherlands Eredivisie
Cambuur Leeuwarden5-2
HT 1-1
Go Ahead Eagles
12/03/21
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Go Ahead Eagles0-0
HT 0-0
Cambuur Leeuwarden
17/12/20
Netherlands Cup
Cambuur Leeuwarden1-2
HT 1-1
Go Ahead Eagles

Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Feyenoord 10730 321124
2 Ajax 10631 291321
3 PSV 10622 281320
4 FC Twente 10622 191020
5 AZ 10622 201220
6 Fortuna Sittard 10532 171718
7 Heerenveen 10433 181315
8 FC Groningen 10433 242115
9 Go Ahead Eagles 10352 232314
10 Cambuur Leeuwarden 10334 192212
11 FC Utrecht 10334 172712
12 NEC 10253 171811
13 Excelsior 10325 161911
14 Sparta Rotterdam 10235 17249
15 PEC Zwolle 10226 11238
16 Telstar 10136 12216
17 ADO Den Haag 10136 13236
18 Willem II 10028 10322

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCambuur LeeuwardenGo Ahead Eagles
Willem II 6-1 W 4-1 W
AZ 2-2 D 2-5 L
PEC Zwolle 1-0 W 1-4 L
ADO Den Haag 1-1 D 3-1 W
NEC 3-0 W 1-1 D
Telstar 2-2 D 3-2 W
Feyenoord 2-5 L 2-2 D
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 1 L 3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Cambuur Leeuwarden (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cambuur Leeuwarden

LLLLDWDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Willem II
Netherlands Eredivisie
 3-0 6-1 42 W
18/10 AZ
Netherlands Eredivisie
 2-1 2-2 35 D
11/10 PEC Zwolle
Netherlands Eredivisie
 0-0 1-0 56 W
19/09 ADO Den Haag
Netherlands Eredivisie
 1-0 1-1 35 D
12/09 NEC
Netherlands Eredivisie
 1-0 3-0 46 W
06/09 Telstar
Netherlands Eredivisie
 0-0 2-2 28 D
30/08 FC Twente
Netherlands Eredivisie
 0-2 1-4 22 L
23/08 Feyenoord
Netherlands Eredivisie
 0-4 2-5 31 L
15/08 Fortuna Sittard
Netherlands Eredivisie
 1-2 1-3 72 L
07/08 Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie
 0-3 0-4 50 L

Go Ahead Eagles

WDWLDDDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/10 Telstar
Netherlands Eredivisie
 2-0 3-2 42 W
18/10 PEC Zwolle
Netherlands Eredivisie
 1-0 1-4 60 L
10/10 Sparta Rotterdam
Netherlands Eredivisie
 0-1 3-3 93 D
20/09 NEC
Netherlands Eredivisie
 1-1 1-1 72 D
12/09 FC Groningen
Netherlands Eredivisie
 0-1 1-1 91 D
08/09 FC Utrecht
Netherlands Eredivisie
 1-0 3-3 53 D
29/08 AZ
Netherlands Eredivisie
 1-2 2-5 40 L
23/08 ADO Den Haag
Netherlands Eredivisie
 1-0 3-1 53 W
16/08 Feyenoord
Netherlands Eredivisie
 0-2 2-2 60 D
08/08 Willem II
Netherlands Eredivisie
 1-1 4-1 63 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Go Ahead Eagles?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Go Ahead Eagles win (44%). Probabilities: Cambuur Leeuwarden 33%, draw 23%, Go Ahead Eagles 44%.

How many goals are expected in Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Go Ahead Eagles?

The model expects 4.01 goals (Cambuur Leeuwarden 1.86 · Go Ahead Eagles 2.14), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cambuur Leeuwarden vs Go Ahead Eagles?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.