Football · Netherlands Eredivisie · 08/11, 20:00

Prediction: FC Utrecht vs NEC

Team pages: FC Utrecht · NEC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.71Total
FC Utrecht1.87
NEC1.84
1X2
39% 24% 37%
FC Utrecht Draw NEC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Utrecht 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LDLDWLWWDL
NEC 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
WWLDLDDDDL
Head-to-head
FC Utrecht 4–2 NEC (6 last)
  • NEC1-3FC Utrecht
  • FC Utrecht1-0NEC
  • FC Utrecht0-1NEC
  • NEC1-2FC Utrecht
  • FC Utrecht1-0NEC
  • NEC3-0FC Utrecht
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Utrecht 1507 · NEC 1504
FC UtrechtDrawNEC
Our model39%23%38%
Market38%25%37%
Estimated total (ours) 3.71 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours FC Utrecht: 4-0-2.
  • High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC UtrechtNEC
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 2.91.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.20.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.91.8 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 03.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Utrecht 4–0–2 NEC

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/02/26
Netherlands Eredivisie
NEC1-3
HT 0-2
FC Utrecht
02/11/25
Netherlands Eredivisie
FC Utrecht1-0
HT 1-0
NEC
15/03/25
Netherlands Eredivisie
FC Utrecht0-1
HT 0-0
NEC
24/11/24
Netherlands Eredivisie
NEC1-2
HT 0-1
FC Utrecht
17/03/24
Netherlands Eredivisie
FC Utrecht1-0
HT 0-0
NEC
23/09/23
Netherlands Eredivisie
NEC3-0
HT 2-0
FC Utrecht

Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Feyenoord 11740 331225
2 Ajax 11731 301324
3 PSV 11722 351323
4 FC Twente 11722 281023
5 AZ 11623 201320
6 Fortuna Sittard 12552 202020
7 Heerenveen 11533 191318
8 Go Ahead Eagles 12453 242717
9 FC Groningen 11434 262415
10 Cambuur Leeuwarden 11434 232215
11 FC Utrecht 11335 193112
12 Sparta Rotterdam 12336 212912
13 PEC Zwolle 12336 132412
14 NEC 11254 171911
15 Excelsior 12327 162911
16 Telstar 12246 182510
17 ADO Den Haag 12237 16259
18 Willem II 12039 11403

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC UtrechtNEC
PEC Zwolle 1-1 D 3-1 W
Willem II 3-1 W 4-1 W
Feyenoord 0-5 L 1-3 L
Excelsior 2-1 W 2-2 D
Go Ahead Eagles 3-3 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: NEC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Utrecht

LDLDWLWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Telstar
Netherlands Eredivisie
1-3 2-4 92 L
24/10 PEC Zwolle
Netherlands Eredivisie
0-0 1-1 74 D
18/10 FC Twente
Netherlands Eredivisie
0-1 2-1 42 W
11/10 Willem II
Netherlands Eredivisie
0-0 3-1 72 W
20/09 Feyenoord
Netherlands Eredivisie
0-3 0-5 34 L
13/09 Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie
1-0 2-1 22 W
08/09 Go Ahead Eagles
Netherlands Eredivisie
0-1 3-3 73 D
30/08 PSV
Netherlands Eredivisie
1-2 1-6 06 L
22/08 Sparta Rotterdam
Netherlands Eredivisie
1-1 3-3 70 D
15/08 AZ
Netherlands Eredivisie
0-1 1-4 36 L

NEC

WWLDLDDDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Heerenveen
Netherlands Eredivisie
0-0 0-1 76 L
25/10 FC Groningen
Netherlands Eredivisie
0-2 2-2 113 D
18/10 Fortuna Sittard
Netherlands Eredivisie
1-1 2-2 132 D
10/10 Ajax
Netherlands Eredivisie
1-1 1-1 44 D
20/09 Go Ahead Eagles
Netherlands Eredivisie
1-1 1-1 52 D
12/09 Cambuur Leeuwarden
Netherlands Eredivisie
0-1 0-3 56 L
08/09 Excelsior
Netherlands Eredivisie
1-1 2-2 24 D
05/09 Feyenoord
Netherlands Eredivisie
0-0 1-3 13 L
29/08 PEC Zwolle
Netherlands Eredivisie
2-1 3-1 74 W
15/08 Willem II
Netherlands Eredivisie
1-0 4-1 21 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Utrecht vs NEC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Utrecht win (39%). Probabilities: FC Utrecht 39%, draw 24%, NEC 37%.

How many goals are expected in FC Utrecht vs NEC?

The model expects 3.71 goals (FC Utrecht 1.87 · NEC 1.84), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Utrecht vs NEC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.