Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 15/08, 14:45
Prediction: Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw
Team pages: Zaglebie Lubin · Slask Wroclaw
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Zaglebie Lubin1.43
Slask Wroclaw1.1
1X2
Zaglebie Lubin
Draw
Slask Wroclaw
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Zaglebie Lubin
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Slask Wroclaw
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zaglebie Lubin
3–1–2
Slask Wroclaw
(6 last)
- Slask Wroclaw3-1Zaglebie Lubin
- Zaglebie Lubin3-0Slask Wroclaw
- Zaglebie Lubin1-2Slask Wroclaw
- Slask Wroclaw1-2Zaglebie Lubin
- Slask Wroclaw0-3Zaglebie Lubin
- Zaglebie Lubin0-0Slask Wroclaw
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zaglebie Lubin 1502 · Slask Wroclaw 1566
| Zaglebie Lubin | Draw | Slask Wroclaw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 29% | 28% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Slask Wroclaw (rating 1502 vs 1566).
- H2H favours Zaglebie Lubin: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zaglebie Lubin | Slask Wroclaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 3 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zaglebie Lubin 3–1–2 Slask Wroclaw
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Slask Wroclaw | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 04/11/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Zaglebie Lubin | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Slask Wroclaw |
| 15/12/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Zaglebie Lubin | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Slask Wroclaw |
| 29/07/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Slask Wroclaw | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 28/01/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Slask Wroclaw | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 15/07/22 Poland Ekstraklasa | Zaglebie Lubin | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Slask Wroclaw |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Legia Warsaw | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Slask Wroclaw | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Zaglebie Lubin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 14 | Cracovia Krakow | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | Korona Kielce | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 17 | Rakow Czestochowa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zaglebie Lubin | Slask Wroclaw |
|---|---|---|
| Chrobry Glogow | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Gornik Zabrze | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Zaglebie Lubin (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zaglebie Lubin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 27/07 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Chrobry Glogow Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 17/07 | Bohemians 1905 Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | Banik Ostrava Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 01/07 | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | Miedz Legnica Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Slask Wroclaw
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | FC Trinity Zlin Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Odra Opole Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 08/07 | Lechia Zielona Góra Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Chrobry Glogow Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Bielawianka Bielawa Club Friendly List |
5-0 | 11-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zaglebie Lubin win (44%). Probabilities: Zaglebie Lubin 44%, draw 29%, Slask Wroclaw 28%.
How many goals are expected in Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Zaglebie Lubin 1.43 · Slask Wroclaw 1.1), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.