Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 23/08, 17:30
Prediction: GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock
Team pages: GKS Katowice · Wisla Plock
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
GKS Katowice1.6
Wisla Plock1.07
1X2
GKS Katowice
Draw
Wisla Plock
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
GKS Katowice
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Wisla Plock
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
GKS Katowice
3–2–1
Wisla Plock
(6 last)
- GKS Katowice1-0Wisla Plock
- Wisla Plock1-1GKS Katowice
- GKS Katowice2-2Wisla Plock
- Wisla Plock2-1GKS Katowice
- GKS Katowice4-1Wisla Plock
- GKS Katowice2-1Wisla Plock
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · GKS Katowice 1544 · Wisla Plock 1515
| GKS Katowice | Draw | Wisla Plock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 27% | 24% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours GKS Katowice: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| GKS Katowice | Wisla Plock | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.7 | 1.9 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · GKS Katowice 3–2–1 Wisla Plock
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | GKS Katowice | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Wisla Plock |
| 26/09/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Wisla Plock | 1-1 HT 1-0 | GKS Katowice |
| 23/09/25 Poland Cup | GKS Katowice | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Wisla Plock |
| 24/02/24 Poland I Liga | Wisla Plock | 2-1 HT 1-1 | GKS Katowice |
| 11/08/23 Poland I Liga | GKS Katowice | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Wisla Plock |
| 05/06/16 Poland I Liga | GKS Katowice | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Wisla Plock |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warsaw | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Cracovia Krakow | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Wisla Krakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Widzew Lodz | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Krakow | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 3 |
| 16 | Piast Gliwice | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
| 17 | Radomiak Radom | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | GKS Katowice | Wisla Plock |
|---|---|---|
| Motor Lublin | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| Radomiak Radom | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Wisla Krakow | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Pogon Szczecin | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Termalica BB Nieciecza | 5-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Lech Poznan | 3-3 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: GKS Katowice (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
GKS Katowice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 9 | W |
| 26/07 | Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland Ekstraklasa |
3-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/04 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 12/04 | Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | D |
Wisla Plock
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/04 | Lechia Gdansk Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock?
According to our model, the most likely result is a GKS Katowice win (49%). Probabilities: GKS Katowice 49%, draw 26%, Wisla Plock 25%.
How many goals are expected in GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock?
The model expects 2.67 goals (GKS Katowice 1.6 · Wisla Plock 1.07), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.