Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 23/08, 14:45
Prediction: Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin
Team pages: Radomiak Radom · Zaglebie Lubin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Radomiak Radom1.36
Zaglebie Lubin1.29
1X2
Radomiak Radom
Draw
Zaglebie Lubin
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Radomiak Radom
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Zaglebie Lubin
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Radomiak Radom
1–1–4
Zaglebie Lubin
(6 last)
- Zaglebie Lubin1-0Radomiak Radom
- Radomiak Radom3-1Zaglebie Lubin
- Radomiak Radom0-0Zaglebie Lubin
- Radomiak Radom0-1Zaglebie Lubin
- Zaglebie Lubin1-0Radomiak Radom
- Radomiak Radom3-4Zaglebie Lubin
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Radomiak Radom 1442 · Zaglebie Lubin 1499
| Radomiak Radom | Draw | Zaglebie Lubin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 29% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zaglebie Lubin (rating 1442 vs 1499).
- H2H favours Zaglebie Lubin: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Radomiak Radom | Zaglebie Lubin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.5 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.8 | 2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Radomiak Radom 1–1–4 Zaglebie Lubin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Zaglebie Lubin | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Radomiak Radom |
| 04/10/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Radomiak Radom | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 25/09/25 Poland Cup | Radomiak Radom | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 05/04/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Radomiak Radom | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 29/09/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Zaglebie Lubin | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Radomiak Radom |
| 28/04/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Radomiak Radom | 3-4 HT 0-3 | Zaglebie Lubin |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warsaw | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Lubin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Wisla Krakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Cracovia Krakow | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Krakow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 16 | Piast Gliwice | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
| 17 | Radomiak Radom | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Radomiak Radom
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-4 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | AEL Limassol Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 02/08 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 24/07 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 18/07 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/07 | Legia Warsaw II Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Legia Warsaw Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | Dynamo Kiev Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | LKS Lodz Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | L |
Zaglebie Lubin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 27/07 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Chrobry Glogow Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 17/07 | Bohemians 1905 Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | Banik Ostrava Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 01/07 | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | Miedz Legnica Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Radomiak Radom win (38%). Probabilities: Radomiak Radom 38%, draw 28%, Zaglebie Lubin 34%.
How many goals are expected in Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Radomiak Radom 1.36 · Zaglebie Lubin 1.29), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.