Prediction: Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin
Team pages: Korona Kielce · Motor Lublin
- Motor Lublin2-0Korona Kielce
- Korona Kielce2-0Motor Lublin
- Korona Kielce1-0Motor Lublin
- Motor Lublin1-1Korona Kielce
- Korona Kielce1-1Motor Lublin
| Korona Kielce | Draw | Motor Lublin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 28% | 25% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Korona Kielce: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Korona Kielce | Motor Lublin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 1.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.1 | 1.9 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Korona Kielce 2–2–1 Motor Lublin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Korona Kielce |
| 23/08/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Korona Kielce | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Motor Lublin |
| 09/02/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Korona Kielce | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Motor Lublin |
| 04/08/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Korona Kielce |
| 22/06/24 Europe Friendlies | Korona Kielce | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Motor Lublin |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warsaw | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Lubin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Wisla Krakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Cracovia Krakow | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Krakow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 16 | Piast Gliwice | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
| 17 | Radomiak Radom | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Korona Kielce | Motor Lublin |
|---|---|---|
| Widzew Lodz | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Legia Warsaw | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Cracovia Krakow | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Korona Kielce (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Korona Kielce
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/07 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 14/07 | Stal Rzeszow Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 09/07 | Omonia Nicosia Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | MFK Zemplin Michalovce Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 15/05 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Motor Lublin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Warta Poznan Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Dinamo Bucharest Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Korona Kielce win (48%). Probabilities: Korona Kielce 48%, draw 27%, Motor Lublin 25%.
How many goals are expected in Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Korona Kielce 1.54 · Motor Lublin 1.06), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.