Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 22/08, 20:15
Prediction: Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Lodz
Team pages: Slask Wroclaw · Widzew Lodz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Slask Wroclaw1.34
Widzew Lodz1.36
1X2
Slask Wroclaw
Draw
Widzew Lodz
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Slask Wroclaw
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Widzew Lodz
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Slask Wroclaw
3–2–1
Widzew Lodz
(6 last)
- Slask Wroclaw3-0Widzew Lodz
- Widzew Lodz0-0Slask Wroclaw
- Slask Wroclaw2-1Widzew Lodz
- Widzew Lodz0-2Slask Wroclaw
- Widzew Lodz1-0Slask Wroclaw
- Slask Wroclaw0-0Widzew Lodz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Slask Wroclaw 1555 · Widzew Lodz 1554
| Slask Wroclaw | Draw | Widzew Lodz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 28% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Slask Wroclaw: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Slask Wroclaw | Widzew Lodz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 0.7 | 1.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.5 | 2.6 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Slask Wroclaw 3–2–1 Widzew Lodz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Slask Wroclaw | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Widzew Lodz |
| 11/08/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Widzew Lodz | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Slask Wroclaw |
| 02/03/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Slask Wroclaw | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Widzew Lodz |
| 25/08/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Widzew Lodz | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Slask Wroclaw |
| 17/02/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Widzew Lodz | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Slask Wroclaw |
| 06/08/22 Poland Ekstraklasa | Slask Wroclaw | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Widzew Lodz |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warsaw | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Lubin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Wisla Krakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 7 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Cracovia Krakow | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Krakow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 16 | Piast Gliwice | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
| 17 | Radomiak Radom | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Slask Wroclaw
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | FC Trinity Zlin Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Odra Opole Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 08/07 | Lechia Zielona Góra Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Chrobry Glogow Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Bielawianka Bielawa Club Friendly List |
5-0 | 11-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Widzew Lodz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-2 | 1-2 | 15 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 31/07 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/07 | Puszcza Niepolomice Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/07 | FC Marchfeld Donauauen Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-3 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/07 | Besiktas Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Dunajska Streda Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | Stal Rzeszow Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Lodz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Slask Wroclaw win (36%). Probabilities: Slask Wroclaw 36%, draw 28%, Widzew Lodz 36%.
How many goals are expected in Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Lodz?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Slask Wroclaw 1.34 · Widzew Lodz 1.36), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Lodz?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.