Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 02/08, 14:45
Prediction: Legia Warsaw vs Zaglebie Lubin
Team pages: Legia Warsaw · Zaglebie Lubin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Legia Warsaw1.63
Zaglebie Lubin0.71
1X2
Legia Warsaw
Draw
Zaglebie Lubin
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Legia Warsaw
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Zaglebie Lubin
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Legia Warsaw
5–1
Zaglebie Lubin
(6 last)
- Legia Warsaw1-0Zaglebie Lubin
- Zaglebie Lubin3-1Legia Warsaw
- Zaglebie Lubin0-3Legia Warsaw
- Legia Warsaw2-0Zaglebie Lubin
- Legia Warsaw2-1Zaglebie Lubin
- Zaglebie Lubin0-3Legia Warsaw
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Legia Warsaw (rating 1593 vs 1509).
- H2H favours Legia Warsaw: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Legia Warsaw | Zaglebie Lubin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.9 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Legia Warsaw 5–0–1 Zaglebie Lubin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Legia Warsaw | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 19/10/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Zaglebie Lubin | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Legia Warsaw |
| 08/12/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Zaglebie Lubin | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Legia Warsaw |
| 20/07/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Legia Warsaw | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 25/05/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Legia Warsaw | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Zaglebie Lubin |
| 03/12/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Zaglebie Lubin | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Legia Warsaw |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zaglebie Lubin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Radomiak Radom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Wisla Krakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Wisla Plock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Legia Warsaw | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Cracovia Krakow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Rakow Czestochowa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Wieczysta Krakow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | Slask Wroclaw | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Legia Warsaw
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | Radomiak Radom Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | AS Trencin Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Bayern Munich II Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Lechia Gdansk Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-4 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
Zaglebie Lubin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Chrobry Glogow Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 17/07 | Bohemians 1905 Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | Banik Ostrava Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 01/07 | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | Miedz Legnica Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Legia Warsaw vs Zaglebie Lubin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Legia Warsaw win (59%). Probabilities: Legia Warsaw 59%, draw 27%, Zaglebie Lubin 15%.
How many goals are expected in Legia Warsaw vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Legia Warsaw 1.63 · Zaglebie Lubin 0.71), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Legia Warsaw vs Zaglebie Lubin?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.