Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 09/08, 14:45
Prediction: Slask Wroclaw vs Cracovia Krakow
Team pages: Slask Wroclaw · Cracovia Krakow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Slask Wroclaw1.35
Cracovia Krakow1.24
1X2
Slask Wroclaw
Draw
Cracovia Krakow
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Slask Wroclaw
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Cracovia Krakow
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Slask Wroclaw
3–2–1
Cracovia Krakow
(6 last)
- Cracovia Krakow2-4Slask Wroclaw
- Slask Wroclaw2-4Cracovia Krakow
- Slask Wroclaw4-0Cracovia Krakow
- Cracovia Krakow0-1Slask Wroclaw
- Cracovia Krakow1-1Slask Wroclaw
- Slask Wroclaw1-1Cracovia Krakow
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Slask Wroclaw 1585 · Cracovia Krakow 1507
| Slask Wroclaw | Draw | Cracovia Krakow | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Slask Wroclaw (rating 1585 vs 1507).
- H2H favours Slask Wroclaw: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Slask Wroclaw | Cracovia Krakow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.2 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.8 | 2.2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Slask Wroclaw 3–2–1 Cracovia Krakow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Cracovia Krakow | 2-4 HT 1-1 | Slask Wroclaw |
| 06/10/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Slask Wroclaw | 2-4 HT 2-1 | Cracovia Krakow |
| 10/05/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Slask Wroclaw | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Cracovia Krakow |
| 10/11/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Cracovia Krakow | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Slask Wroclaw |
| 05/03/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Cracovia Krakow | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Slask Wroclaw |
| 20/08/22 Poland Ekstraklasa | Slask Wroclaw | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Cracovia Krakow |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warsaw | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Wisla Krakow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Slask Wroclaw | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Zaglebie Lubin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | Cracovia Krakow | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Rakow Czestochowa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Slask Wroclaw
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | FC Trinity Zlin Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Odra Opole Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 08/07 | Lechia Zielona Góra Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Chrobry Glogow Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Bielawianka Bielawa Club Friendly List |
5-0 | 11-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/05 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
Cracovia Krakow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Sevilla Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 09/07 | Pardubice Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 06/07 | Istanbul Basaksehir Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 03/07 | Pafos FC Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 11/05 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | D |
| 03/05 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Slask Wroclaw vs Cracovia Krakow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Slask Wroclaw win (38%). Probabilities: Slask Wroclaw 38%, draw 29%, Cracovia Krakow 33%.
How many goals are expected in Slask Wroclaw vs Cracovia Krakow?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Slask Wroclaw 1.35 · Cracovia Krakow 1.24), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Slask Wroclaw vs Cracovia Krakow?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.