Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 08/08, 20:15
Prediction: Korona Kielce vs Legia Warsaw
Team pages: Korona Kielce · Legia Warsaw
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
Korona Kielce0.84
Legia Warsaw1.21
1X2
Korona Kielce
Draw
Legia Warsaw
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Korona Kielce
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Legia Warsaw
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Korona Kielce
1–3–2
Legia Warsaw
(6 last)
- Legia Warsaw1-2Korona Kielce
- Korona Kielce0-2Legia Warsaw
- Legia Warsaw1-1Korona Kielce
- Korona Kielce0-1Legia Warsaw
- Korona Kielce3-3Legia Warsaw
- Korona Kielce1-1Legia Warsaw
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Legia Warsaw (rating 1492 vs 1602).
- H2H favours Legia Warsaw: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Korona Kielce | Legia Warsaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 2 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.1 | 3.4 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Korona Kielce 1–3–2 Legia Warsaw
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Legia Warsaw | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Korona Kielce |
| 27/07/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Korona Kielce | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Legia Warsaw |
| 02/02/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Legia Warsaw | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Korona Kielce |
| 28/07/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Korona Kielce | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Legia Warsaw |
| 25/02/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Korona Kielce | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Legia Warsaw |
| 06/12/23 Poland Cup | Korona Kielce | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Legia Warsaw |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Wisla Plock | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Zaglebie Lubin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Radomiak Radom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Legia Warsaw | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Wisla Krakow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | Cracovia Krakow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 13 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Rakow Czestochowa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Slask Wroclaw | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Wieczysta Krakow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Korona Kielce | Legia Warsaw |
|---|---|---|
| Termalica BB Nieciecza | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Widzew Lodz | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Legia Warsaw (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Korona Kielce
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/07 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 14/07 | Stal Rzeszow Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 09/07 | Omonia Nicosia Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | MFK Zemplin Michalovce Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 15/05 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
Legia Warsaw
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 24/07 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | Radomiak Radom Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | AS Trencin Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Bayern Munich II Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Lechia Gdansk Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Korona Kielce vs Legia Warsaw?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Legia Warsaw win (43%). Probabilities: Korona Kielce 24%, draw 32%, Legia Warsaw 43%.
How many goals are expected in Korona Kielce vs Legia Warsaw?
The model expects 2.04 goals (Korona Kielce 0.84 · Legia Warsaw 1.21), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Korona Kielce vs Legia Warsaw?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.