Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 08/08, 17:30
Prediction: Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice
Team pages: Lech Poznan · Piast Gliwice
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Lech Poznan1.88
Piast Gliwice0.89
1X2
Lech Poznan
Draw
Piast Gliwice
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lech Poznan
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Piast Gliwice
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lech Poznan
3–1–2
Piast Gliwice
(6 last)
- Lech Poznan3-0Piast Gliwice
- Piast Gliwice1-0Lech Poznan
- Piast Gliwice0-2Lech Poznan
- Lech Poznan1-0Piast Gliwice
- Piast Gliwice0-0Lech Poznan
- Piast Gliwice1-0Lech Poznan
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lech Poznan (rating 1571 vs 1478).
- H2H favours Lech Poznan: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lech Poznan | Piast Gliwice | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6.8 | 2.8 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lech Poznan 3–1–2 Piast Gliwice
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Lech Poznan | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Piast Gliwice |
| 03/02/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Piast Gliwice | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lech Poznan |
| 03/12/25 Poland Cup | Piast Gliwice | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Lech Poznan |
| 24/05/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Lech Poznan | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Piast Gliwice |
| 29/11/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Piast Gliwice | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lech Poznan |
| 29/06/24 Europe Friendlies | Piast Gliwice | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Lech Poznan |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Wisla Plock | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Zaglebie Lubin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Radomiak Radom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Legia Warsaw | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Wisla Krakow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 10 | Widzew Lodz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | Cracovia Krakow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 13 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Rakow Czestochowa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Slask Wroclaw | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Wieczysta Krakow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lech Poznan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 29/07 | AGF Aarhus UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-3 | 14 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 21/07 | AGF Aarhus UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 16/07 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Super Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Arka Gdynia Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-1 | 15 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
Piast Gliwice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-1 | 4-3 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/07 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 08/07 | Miedz Legnica Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | Banik Ostrava Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 01/07 | GKS Katowice Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Rakow Czestochowa Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/05 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Lech Poznan win (60%). Probabilities: Lech Poznan 60%, draw 24%, Piast Gliwice 16%.
How many goals are expected in Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Lech Poznan 1.88 · Piast Gliwice 0.89), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.