Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 08/08, 17:30
Prediction: Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin
Team pages: Pogon Szczecin · Motor Lublin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Pogon Szczecin1.82
Motor Lublin1.32
1X2
Pogon Szczecin
Draw
Motor Lublin
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Pogon Szczecin
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Motor Lublin
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pogon Szczecin
2–2
Motor Lublin
(4 last)
- Motor Lublin2-1Pogon Szczecin
- Pogon Szczecin4-1Motor Lublin
- Pogon Szczecin3-0Motor Lublin
- Motor Lublin4-2Pogon Szczecin
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pogon Szczecin | Motor Lublin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 1.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.8 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pogon Szczecin 2–0–2 Motor Lublin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Pogon Szczecin |
| 26/07/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Pogon Szczecin | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Motor Lublin |
| 14/05/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Pogon Szczecin | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Motor Lublin |
| 02/11/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Pogon Szczecin |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warsaw | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Wisla Plock | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Pogon Szczecin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Wisla Krakow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| 9 | Slask Wroclaw | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Zaglebie Lubin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | Cracovia Krakow | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Rakow Czestochowa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pogon Szczecin | Motor Lublin |
|---|---|---|
| Cracovia Krakow | 2-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Legia Warsaw | 0-1 L | 0-4 L |
| GKS Katowice | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Wisla Plock | 3-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Pogon Szczecin (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pogon Szczecin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/07 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/07 | SK Sturm Graz Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Fenerbahce Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | Chrobry Glogow Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | BFC Dynamo Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Motor Lublin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Warta Poznan Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Dinamo Bucharest Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pogon Szczecin win (48%). Probabilities: Pogon Szczecin 48%, draw 25%, Motor Lublin 27%.
How many goals are expected in Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Pogon Szczecin 1.82 · Motor Lublin 1.32), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.