Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 09/08, 20:15

Prediction: Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Widzew Lodz

Team pages: Jagiellonia Bialystok · Widzew Lodz

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Jagiellonia Bialystok1.61
Widzew Lodz0.7
1X2
58% 27% 15%
Jagiellonia Bialystok Draw Widzew Lodz
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Jagiellonia Bialystok 8-2-0 (W-D-L)
DWWDWWWWWW
Widzew Lodz 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WLWWDWWWDD
Head-to-head
Jagiellonia Bialystok 5–1 Widzew Lodz (6 last)
  • Widzew Lodz1-3Jagiellonia Bialystok
  • Jagiellonia Bialystok3-2Widzew Lodz
  • Widzew Lodz7-1Jagiellonia Bialystok
  • Widzew Lodz0-1Jagiellonia Bialystok
  • Jagiellonia Bialystok1-0Widzew Lodz
  • Widzew Lodz1-3Jagiellonia Bialystok
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jagiellonia Bialystok (rating 1614 vs 1532).
  • H2H favours Jagiellonia Bialystok: 5-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Jagiellonia BialystokWidzew Lodz
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.51.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.21.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/60/0%70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 4.41.9 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.7 / 03.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jagiellonia Bialystok 501 Widzew Lodz

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DateHomeScoreAway
31/01/26
Poland Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz1-3
HT 0-1
Jagiellonia Bialystok
27/07/25
Poland Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia Bialystok3-2
HT 1-1
Widzew Lodz
06/07/25
Club Friendly List
Widzew Lodz7-1
HT 2-0
Jagiellonia Bialystok
09/03/25
Poland Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz0-1
HT 0-1
Jagiellonia Bialystok
01/09/24
Poland Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia Bialystok1-0
HT 1-0
Widzew Lodz
11/02/24
Poland Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz1-3
HT 1-2
Jagiellonia Bialystok

Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Jagiellonia Bialystok 2200 316
2 Lech Poznan 2110 214
2 Wisla Plock 2110 214
4 Zaglebie Lubin 1100 203
5 Gornik Zabrze 1100 213
5 Radomiak Radom 1100 213
7 Legia Warsaw 1100 103
8 Wisla Krakow 2101 553
9 Piast Gliwice 2101 453
10 Widzew Lodz 2020 222
11 Cracovia Krakow 1010 001
12 Motor Lublin 2011 341
13 GKS Katowice 1001 120
13 Rakow Czestochowa 1001 120
13 Slask Wroclaw 1001 120
16 Korona Kielce 1001 010
16 Pogon Szczecin 1001 010
18 Wieczysta Krakow 2002 240

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJagiellonia BialystokWidzew Lodz
Motor Lublin 2-1 W 2-2 D
Korona Kielce 1-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Jagiellonia Bialystok (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jagiellonia Bialystok

DWWDWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 Motor Lublin
Poland Ekstraklasa
1-0 2-1 23 W
26/07 LKS Lomza
Club Friendly List
0-0 1-0 41 W
25/07 Korona Kielce
Poland Ekstraklasa
0-0 1-0 31 W
17/07 FC Nordsjaelland
Europe Friendlies
0-0 2-1 11 W
16/07 Sparta Prague
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 24 W
12/07 Pafos FC
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 84 W
09/07 Polissya Zhytomyr
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 43 D
04/07 MKP Pogon Siedlce
Europe Friendlies
2-1 4-1 52 W
23/05 Zaglebie Lubin
Poland Ekstraklasa
1-0 1-0 64 W
17/05 GKS Katowice
Poland Ekstraklasa
1-1 2-2 94 D

Widzew Lodz

WLWWDWWWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 Wisla Plock
Poland Ekstraklasa
0-0 0-0 45 D
26/07 Motor Lublin
Poland Ekstraklasa
2-1 2-2 35 D
19/07 Puszcza Niepolomice
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-0 W
13/07 FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Europe Friendlies
2-1 4-3 52 W
10/07 Besiktas
Club Friendly List
1-0 2-0 W
04/07 Dunajska Streda
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 D
27/06 Stal Rzeszow
Europe Friendlies
1-0 4-0 30 W
23/05 Piast Gliwice
Poland Ekstraklasa
1-0 2-1 62 W
15/05 Korona Kielce
Poland Ekstraklasa
0-0 0-1 26 L
09/05 Lechia Gdansk
Poland Ekstraklasa
3-0 3-1 26 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Widzew Lodz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jagiellonia Bialystok win (58%). Probabilities: Jagiellonia Bialystok 58%, draw 27%, Widzew Lodz 15%.

How many goals are expected in Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Widzew Lodz?

The model expects 2.31 goals (Jagiellonia Bialystok 1.61 · Widzew Lodz 0.7), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Widzew Lodz?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.