Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 16/08, 14:45
Prediction: Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice
Team pages: Motor Lublin · GKS Katowice
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
Motor Lublin1.67
GKS Katowice1.75
1X2
Motor Lublin
Draw
GKS Katowice
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Motor Lublin
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
GKS Katowice
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Motor Lublin
1–2–3
GKS Katowice
(6 last)
- GKS Katowice3-2Motor Lublin
- Motor Lublin2-5GKS Katowice
- Motor Lublin3-2GKS Katowice
- GKS Katowice0-0Motor Lublin
- GKS Katowice2-0Motor Lublin
- Motor Lublin1-1GKS Katowice
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GKS Katowice (rating 1468 vs 1534).
- H2H favours GKS Katowice: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Motor Lublin | GKS Katowice | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.9 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.8 | 3.3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Motor Lublin 1–2–3 GKS Katowice
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | GKS Katowice | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Motor Lublin |
| 17/10/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin | 2-5 HT 2-2 | GKS Katowice |
| 24/02/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin | 3-2 HT 2-1 | GKS Katowice |
| 16/08/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | GKS Katowice | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Motor Lublin |
| 19/02/24 Poland I Liga | GKS Katowice | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Motor Lublin |
| 06/08/23 Poland I Liga | Motor Lublin | 1-1 HT 0-1 | GKS Katowice |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Legia Warsaw | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Slask Wroclaw | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Zaglebie Lubin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 14 | Cracovia Krakow | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | Korona Kielce | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 17 | Rakow Czestochowa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Motor Lublin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Warta Poznan Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Dinamo Bucharest Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
GKS Katowice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Hapoel Tel Aviv UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 02/08 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 9 | W |
| 30/07 | MSK Zilina UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 23/07 | MSK Zilina UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 16/07 | Rakow Czestochowa Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Stal Rzeszow Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Miedz Legnica Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 01/07 | Piast Gliwice Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 28/06 | Arka Gdynia Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice?
According to our model, the most likely result is an GKS Katowice win (39%). Probabilities: Motor Lublin 36%, draw 24%, GKS Katowice 39%.
How many goals are expected in Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice?
The model expects 3.42 goals (Motor Lublin 1.67 · GKS Katowice 1.75), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.