Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 14/08, 20:30
Prediction: Legia Warsaw vs Radomiak Radom
Team pages: Legia Warsaw · Radomiak Radom
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.24Total
Legia Warsaw2.49
Radomiak Radom0.75
1X2
Legia Warsaw
Draw
Radomiak Radom
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Legia Warsaw
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Radomiak Radom
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Legia Warsaw
3–1–2
Radomiak Radom
(6 last)
- Legia Warsaw3-1Radomiak Radom
- Radomiak Radom1-1Legia Warsaw
- Legia Warsaw4-1Radomiak Radom
- Radomiak Radom3-1Legia Warsaw
- Legia Warsaw4-1Radomiak Radom
- Legia Warsaw0-3Radomiak Radom
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Legia Warsaw (rating 1611 vs 1404).
- H2H favours Legia Warsaw: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Legia Warsaw | Radomiak Radom | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.5 | 1.5 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5 | 1.9 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Legia Warsaw 3–1–2 Radomiak Radom
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/26 Europe Friendlies | Legia Warsaw | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Radomiak Radom |
| 13/03/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Radomiak Radom | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Legia Warsaw |
| 14/09/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Legia Warsaw | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Radomiak Radom |
| 22/02/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Radomiak Radom | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Legia Warsaw |
| 18/08/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Legia Warsaw | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Radomiak Radom |
| 05/05/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Legia Warsaw | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Radomiak Radom |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warsaw | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Pogon Szczecin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Slask Wroclaw | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Zaglebie Lubin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Cracovia Krakow | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 17 | Rakow Czestochowa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Legia Warsaw
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 24/07 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | Radomiak Radom Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 10/07 | AS Trencin Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Bayern Munich II Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Lechia Gdansk Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
Radomiak Radom
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 02/08 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 24/07 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 18/07 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/07 | Legia Warsaw II Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 14/07 | Legia Warsaw Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | Dynamo Kiev Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | LKS Lodz Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | L |
| 01/07 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-5 | 2-6 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Legia Warsaw vs Radomiak Radom?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Legia Warsaw win (75%). Probabilities: Legia Warsaw 75%, draw 17%, Radomiak Radom 8%.
How many goals are expected in Legia Warsaw vs Radomiak Radom?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Legia Warsaw 2.49 · Radomiak Radom 0.75), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Legia Warsaw vs Radomiak Radom?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.