Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 15/08, 20:15
Prediction: Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce
Team pages: Widzew Lodz · Korona Kielce
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
Widzew Lodz1.48
Korona Kielce0.68
1X2
Widzew Lodz
Draw
Korona Kielce
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Widzew Lodz
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Korona Kielce
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Widzew Lodz
1–5
Korona Kielce
(6 last)
- Korona Kielce1-0Widzew Lodz
- Widzew Lodz1-3Korona Kielce
- Korona Kielce2-1Widzew Lodz
- Korona Kielce1-0Widzew Lodz
- Widzew Lodz0-1Korona Kielce
- Widzew Lodz3-1Korona Kielce
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Widzew Lodz (rating 1565 vs 1500).
- H2H favours Korona Kielce: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Widzew Lodz | Korona Kielce | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.7 | 1.9 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Widzew Lodz 1–0–5 Korona Kielce
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Korona Kielce | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Widzew Lodz |
| 23/11/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Widzew Lodz | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Korona Kielce |
| 11/04/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Korona Kielce | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Widzew Lodz |
| 04/12/24 Poland Cup | Korona Kielce | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Widzew Lodz |
| 04/10/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Widzew Lodz | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Korona Kielce |
| 01/04/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Widzew Lodz | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Korona Kielce |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Legia Warsaw | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Slask Wroclaw | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Zaglebie Lubin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 14 | Cracovia Krakow | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | Korona Kielce | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 17 | Rakow Czestochowa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Widzew Lodz | Korona Kielce |
|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Stal Rzeszow | 4-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Piast Gliwice | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Widzew Lodz (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Widzew Lodz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 31/07 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 19/07 | Puszcza Niepolomice Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/07 | FC Marchfeld Donauauen Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-3 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/07 | Besiktas Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Dunajska Streda Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | Stal Rzeszow Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
Korona Kielce
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 17/07 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 14/07 | Stal Rzeszow Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 09/07 | Omonia Nicosia Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | MFK Zemplin Michalovce Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 15/05 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Widzew Lodz win (55%). Probabilities: Widzew Lodz 55%, draw 29%, Korona Kielce 16%.
How many goals are expected in Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce?
The model expects 2.16 goals (Widzew Lodz 1.48 · Korona Kielce 0.68), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Widzew Lodz vs Korona Kielce?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.