Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 16/08, 20:15
Prediction: Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Krakow
Team pages: Gornik Zabrze · Wisla Krakow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Gornik Zabrze1.42
Wisla Krakow1.18
1X2
Gornik Zabrze
Draw
Wisla Krakow
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gornik Zabrze
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Wisla Krakow
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gornik Zabrze
1–2–3
Wisla Krakow
(6 last)
- Wisla Krakow4-1Gornik Zabrze
- Gornik Zabrze0-1Wisla Krakow
- Wisla Krakow0-0Gornik Zabrze
- Gornik Zabrze0-0Wisla Krakow
- Gornik Zabrze0-1Wisla Krakow
- Gornik Zabrze4-2Wisla Krakow
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gornik Zabrze 1513 · Wisla Krakow 1525
| Gornik Zabrze | Draw | Wisla Krakow | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 29% | 30% |
| Market | 41% | 28% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Wisla Krakow: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gornik Zabrze | Wisla Krakow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5 | 4.4 / 7.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gornik Zabrze 1–2–3 Wisla Krakow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/22 Poland Ekstraklasa | Wisla Krakow | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Gornik Zabrze |
| 16/10/21 Poland Ekstraklasa | Gornik Zabrze | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Wisla Krakow |
| 05/03/21 Poland Ekstraklasa | Wisla Krakow | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gornik Zabrze |
| 25/09/20 Poland Ekstraklasa | Gornik Zabrze | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Wisla Krakow |
| 27/06/20 Poland Ekstraklasa | Gornik Zabrze | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Wisla Krakow |
| 06/12/19 Poland Ekstraklasa | Gornik Zabrze | 4-2 HT 0-1 | Wisla Krakow |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Legia Warsaw | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 6 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Slask Wroclaw | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Zaglebie Lubin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Radomiak Radom | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 14 | Cracovia Krakow | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | Korona Kielce | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 17 | Rakow Czestochowa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gornik Zabrze
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 05/08 | Ferencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 29/07 | Fenerbahce UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 21/07 | Fenerbahce UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 16/07 | Lech Poznan Poland Super Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/07 | FC Nordsjaelland Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | WSG Swarovski Tirol Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | FC Salzburg Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 28/06 | Hallescher FC Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
Wisla Krakow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | SK Artis Brno Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 12/07 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala II Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Wrexham Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 04/07 | MFK Karvina Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | Puszcza Niepolomice Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Krakow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gornik Zabrze win (41%). Probabilities: Gornik Zabrze 41%, draw 29%, Wisla Krakow 30%.
How many goals are expected in Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Krakow?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Gornik Zabrze 1.42 · Wisla Krakow 1.18), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Krakow?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.