Prediction: Tijuana vs Cruz Azul
Team pages: Tijuana · Cruz Azul
- Cruz Azul1-1Tijuana
- Tijuana2-0Cruz Azul
- Tijuana2-3Cruz Azul
- Cruz Azul3-0Tijuana
- Tijuana3-0Cruz Azul
- Cruz Azul3-0Tijuana
| Tijuana | Draw | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 29% | 42% |
| Market | 30% | 27% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cruz Azul (rating 1541 vs 1588).
- H2H favours Cruz Azul: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tijuana | Cruz Azul | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.7 | 2.9 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.7 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tijuana 2–1–3 Cruz Azul
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Mexico Liga MX | Cruz Azul | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Tijuana |
| 29/09/25 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cruz Azul |
| 01/02/25 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 2-3 HT 0-3 | Cruz Azul |
| 01/12/24 Mexico Liga MX | Cruz Azul | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Tijuana |
| 28/11/24 Mexico Liga MX | Tijuana | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Cruz Azul |
| 17/07/24 Mexico Liga MX | Cruz Azul | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Tijuana |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Tijuana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Unam Pumas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 7 | Queretaro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Chivas Guadalajara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 13 | Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Atletico San Luis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tijuana | Cruz Azul |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico San Luis | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| Chivas Guadalajara | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Cruz Azul (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tijuana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | San Diego FC Leagues Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 07/08 | Austin FC Leagues Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/07 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 04/07 | San Jose Earthquakes Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/04 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 19/04 | Cruz Azul Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Juarez FC Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
Cruz Azul
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | New York City FC Leagues Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 07/08 | Philadelphia Union Leagues Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Atlante Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Toluca Mexico Champion of Champions |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/07 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Atletico Morelia America Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/05 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cruz Azul win (42%). Probabilities: Tijuana 30%, draw 28%, Cruz Azul 42%.
How many goals are expected in Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Tijuana 1.17 · Cruz Azul 1.44), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.