Football · Mexico Liga MX · 18/10, 05:00
Prediction: Cruz Azul vs Juarez FC
Team pages: Cruz Azul · Juarez FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.61Total
Cruz Azul2.28
Juarez FC1.34
1X2
Cruz Azul
Draw
Juarez FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Cruz Azul
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Juarez FC
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cruz Azul
4–1–1
Juarez FC
(6 last)
- Juarez FC3-4Cruz Azul
- Cruz Azul3-2Juarez FC
- Juarez FC1-0Cruz Azul
- Cruz Azul4-0Juarez FC
- Juarez FC0-0Cruz Azul
- Cruz Azul2-0Juarez FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cruz Azul (rating 1499 vs 1413).
- H2H favours Cruz Azul: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cruz Azul | Juarez FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.2 | 1.7 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cruz Azul 4–1–1 Juarez FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Mexico Liga MX | Juarez FC | 3-4 HT 1-3 | Cruz Azul |
| 20/09/25 Mexico Liga MX | Cruz Azul | 3-2 HT 3-2 | Juarez FC |
| 19/01/25 Mexico Liga MX | Juarez FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cruz Azul |
| 24/10/24 Mexico Liga MX | Cruz Azul | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Juarez FC |
| 20/01/24 Mexico Liga MX | Juarez FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cruz Azul |
| 02/11/23 Mexico Liga MX | Cruz Azul | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Juarez FC |
Standings · Mexico Liga MX
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 3 | Queretaro | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 20 |
| 4 | Chivas Guadalajara | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 19 |
| 5 | Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 16 |
| 8 | Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 15 |
| 9 | Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 15 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 13 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 12 |
| 13 | Unam Pumas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 12 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 12 |
| 15 | Atlante | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 11 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 8 |
| 18 | Juarez FC | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cruz Azul | Juarez FC |
|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 3-3 D | 0-4 L |
| Monterrey | 0-1 L | 1-6 L |
| Club America | 4-3 W | 1-2 L |
| Santos Laguna | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Tijuana | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Cruz Azul (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cruz Azul
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
2-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
3-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 07/09 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | Necaxa Mexico Liga MX |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | Atlas Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 17/08 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | Atlante Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 22/07 | Puebla Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Atletico San Luis Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
Juarez FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Tijuana Mexico Liga MX |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 9 | D |
| 28/09 | Leon Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Tigres UANL Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 14/09 | Santos Laguna Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 05/09 | Pachuca Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 31/08 | Toluca Mexico Liga MX |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Club America Mexico Liga MX |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Monterrey Mexico Liga MX |
1-4 | 1-6 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Unam Pumas Mexico Liga MX |
1-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Chivas Guadalajara Mexico Liga MX |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cruz Azul vs Juarez FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cruz Azul win (58%). Probabilities: Cruz Azul 58%, draw 21%, Juarez FC 21%.
How many goals are expected in Cruz Azul vs Juarez FC?
The model expects 3.61 goals (Cruz Azul 2.28 · Juarez FC 1.34), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Cruz Azul vs Juarez FC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.