Football · Netherlands Eredivisie · 09/08, 12:15
Prediction: Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Sparta Rotterdam1.25
Feyenoord2.09
1X2
Sparta Rotterdam
Draw
Feyenoord
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sparta Rotterdam
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Feyenoord
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sparta Rotterdam
1–2–3
Feyenoord
(6 last)
- Feyenoord3-4Sparta Rotterdam
- Sparta Rotterdam0-4Feyenoord
- Feyenoord3-0Sparta Rotterdam
- Sparta Rotterdam1-1Feyenoord
- Feyenoord2-0Sparta Rotterdam
- Sparta Rotterdam2-2Feyenoord
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sparta Rotterdam 1436 · Feyenoord 1603
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Feyenoord | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 23% | 56% |
| Market | 21% | 23% | 56% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Feyenoord (rating 1436 vs 1603).
- H2H favours Feyenoord: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sparta Rotterdam | Feyenoord | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.2 | 2.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.6 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 2.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sparta Rotterdam 1–2–3 Feyenoord
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 Netherlands Eredivisie | Feyenoord | 3-4 HT 0-1 | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 31/08/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | Sparta Rotterdam | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Feyenoord |
| 08/02/25 Netherlands Eredivisie | Feyenoord | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 25/08/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | Sparta Rotterdam | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Feyenoord |
| 11/02/24 Netherlands Eredivisie | Feyenoord | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 20/08/23 Netherlands Eredivisie | Sparta Rotterdam | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Feyenoord |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADO Den Haag | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NEC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PEC Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cambuur Leeuwarden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Willem II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sparta Rotterdam
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | MSV Duisburg Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 28/07 | Asteras Tripolis Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Zulte-Waregem Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | SV Meppen Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Telstar Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Excelsior Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | FC Twente Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Go Ahead Eagles Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 22/04 | Telstar Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | PSV Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
Feyenoord
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Atalanta Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | Rayo Vallecano Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | Charleroi Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Club Brugge Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Dordrecht Europe Friendlies |
4-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | PEC Zwolle Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | AZ Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | Fortuna Sittard Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Groningen Netherlands Eredivisie |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | NEC Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Feyenoord win (56%). Probabilities: Sparta Rotterdam 21%, draw 23%, Feyenoord 56%.
How many goals are expected in Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord?
The model expects 3.33 goals (Sparta Rotterdam 1.25 · Feyenoord 2.09), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sparta Rotterdam vs Feyenoord?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.