Football · Brazil Paulista Cup · 23/07, 00:00

Prediction: Uniao Sao Joao vs XV Piracicaba

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Uniao Sao Joao1.01
XV Piracicaba1.25
1X2
29% 29% 41%
Uniao Sao Joao Draw XV Piracicaba
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Uniao Sao Joao 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLDDWWWLDL
XV Piracicaba 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DWWDDLDWLD
Head-to-head
Uniao Sao Joao 0–1–1 XV Piracicaba (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Uniao Sao Joao 1505 · XV Piracicaba 1511
Uniao Sao JoaoDrawXV Piracicaba
Our model29%31%40%
Market30%28%42%
Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Uniao Sao JoaoXV Piracicaba
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.10.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.20.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.54.1 / 7.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.24.2 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Uniao Sao Joao 011 XV Piracicaba

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/08/24
Brazil Paulista Cup
Uniao Sao Joao1-1
HT 1-0
XV Piracicaba
06/07/24
Brazil Paulista Cup
XV Piracicaba4-2
HT 1-1
Uniao Sao Joao

Standings · Brazil Paulista Cup · Copa Paulista 2026, Group 2

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Comercial FC 110 203
2 XV Piracicaba 000 000
2 Uniao Sao Joao 000 000
4 Noroeste 101 020

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Uniao Sao Joao

WLDDWWWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Santos
America Friendlies
0-0 0-3 40 L
21/03 EC Sao Bernardo
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
1-1 2-2 28 D
14/03 Paulista FC
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
0-1 0-3 76 L
11/03 AA Francana
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
1-0 2-1 14 W
07/03 Catanduva FC
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
2-0 2-0 67 W
04/03 Portuguesa Santista
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
0-0 1-0 85 W
01/03 Itapirense
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
1-0 1-1 38 D
25/02 Desportivo Brasil
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
0-0 0-0 55 D
21/02 Marilia
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
0-0 0-1 34 L
14/02 Uniao Suzano
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
0-0 1-0 65 W

XV Piracicaba

DWWDDLDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Cianorte
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 93 D
04/07 Cianorte
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-4 147 L
27/06 America RJ
Brazil Serie D
2-0 2-0 53 W
20/06 America RJ
Brazil Serie D
1-1 1-1 86 D
07/06 Nova Iguacu
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-1 45 L
30/05 Noroeste
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-1 74 D
24/05 Velo Clube SP
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 114 D
16/05 Marica RJ
Brazil Serie D
1-0 2-1 33 W
09/05 Sampaio Correa RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 77 W
03/05 Sampaio Correa RJ
Brazil Serie D
1-1 1-1 85 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Uniao Sao Joao vs XV Piracicaba?

According to our model, the most likely result is an XV Piracicaba win (41%). Probabilities: Uniao Sao Joao 29%, draw 29%, XV Piracicaba 41%.

How many goals are expected in Uniao Sao Joao vs XV Piracicaba?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Uniao Sao Joao 1.01 · XV Piracicaba 1.25), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Uniao Sao Joao vs XV Piracicaba?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.