Football · Brazil Paulista Cup · 01/08, 20:00

Prediction: Paulista FC vs Osasco Sporting

Team pages: Paulista FC · Osasco Sporting

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.38Total

Paulista FC1.44

Osasco Sporting0.93

1X2

48% 28% 24%

Paulista FC Draw Osasco Sporting

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Paulista FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DDWDWWWLWL

Osasco Sporting 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWDLWWLLL

Head-to-head

Paulista FC 0–1 Osasco Sporting (1 last)

Paulista FC1-3Osasco Sporting

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paulista FC 1538 · Osasco Sporting 1497

	Paulista FC	Draw	Osasco Sporting
Our model	48%	29%	23%
Market	48%	28%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paulista FC (rating 1538 vs 1497).
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 12.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Paulista FC	Osasco Sporting
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.9	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5	2.9 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.8 / 0.1	5.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.25

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
23:33	1.85	3.25	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Paulista FC 0–0–1 Osasco Sporting

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/15 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	Paulista FC	1-3 HT 0-2	Osasco Sporting

Standings · Brazil Paulista Cup · Copa Paulista 2026, Group 3

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CA Juventus	2	2	0	4	1	6
2	Primavera SP	2	1	1	2	1	3
3	Paulista FC	2	1	1	2	3	3
4	Osasco Sporting	2	0	2	0	3	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Paulista FC	Osasco Sporting
CA Juventus	1-3 L	0-1 L
Primavera SP	1-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Paulista FC

DDWDWWWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	CA Juventus Brazil Paulista Cup	1-0	1-3	5	7	L
18/07	Primavera SP Brazil Paulista Cup	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
05/04	Portuguesa Santista Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
28/03	Portuguesa Santista Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3	2-0	2-1	4	2	W
21/03	Catanduva FC Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3	2-1	3-1	2	9	W
14/03	Uniao Sao Joao Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3	1-0	3-0	5	6	W
11/03	Uniao Barbarense Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
07/03	Uniao Suzano Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3	1-0	2-0	2	11	W
05/03	Bandeirante Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
01/03	AA Francana Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3	1-1	2-2	12	7	D

Osasco Sporting

DWWDLWWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Primavera SP Brazil Paulista Cup	0-2	0-2	6	1	L
19/07	CA Juventus Brazil Paulista Cup	0-0	0-1	12	4	L
07/03	EC Agua Santa Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	1-0	1-2	9	6	L
01/03	Ituano Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	0-0	2-0	5	6	W
26/02	Inter de Limeira Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	1-0	3-1	4	4	W
22/02	CA Votuporanguense Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
18/02	Monte Azul SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	1-0	1-1	5	9	D
14/02	Sao Bento Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	2-1	2-1	10	5	W
12/02	Santo Andre SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	1-0	2-1	4	10	W
08/02	Linense Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2	1-0	2-2	3	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paulista FC vs Osasco Sporting?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Paulista FC win (48%). Probabilities: Paulista FC 48%, draw 28%, Osasco Sporting 24%.

How many goals are expected in Paulista FC vs Osasco Sporting?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Paulista FC 1.44 · Osasco Sporting 0.93), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Paulista FC vs Osasco Sporting?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.