Football · Brazil Paulista Cup · 28/07, 00:30
Prediction: Gremio Prudente vs Bandeirante
Team pages: Gremio Prudente · Bandeirante
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.97Total
Gremio Prudente1.31
Bandeirante0.67
1X2
Gremio Prudente
Draw
Bandeirante
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Gremio Prudente
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Bandeirante
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gremio Prudente
1–3
Bandeirante
(4 last)
- Bandeirante3-2Gremio Prudente
- Gremio Prudente2-3Bandeirante
- Bandeirante2-0Gremio Prudente
- Gremio Prudente1-0Bandeirante
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gremio Prudente 1470 · Bandeirante 1523
| Gremio Prudente | Draw | Bandeirante | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 31% | 18% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bandeirante (rating 1470 vs 1523).
- H2H favours Bandeirante: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gremio Prudente | Bandeirante | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.3 | 2.1 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gremio Prudente 1–0–3 Bandeirante
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/24 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 | Bandeirante | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Gremio Prudente |
| 01/03/23 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 | Gremio Prudente | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Bandeirante |
| 13/12/20 Brazil Paulista Serie B | Bandeirante | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Gremio Prudente |
| 10/12/20 Brazil Paulista Serie B | Gremio Prudente | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Bandeirante |
Standings · Brazil Paulista Cup · Copa Paulista 2026, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linense | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Marilia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Bandeirante | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Gremio Prudente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gremio Prudente
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Marilia Brazil Paulista Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 07/03 | EC Taubate Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/02 | Ferroviaria SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 25/02 | EC Agua Santa Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
3-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/02 | Linense Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 18/02 | Inter de Limeira Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 14/02 | Santo Andre SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/02 | Monte Azul SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 07/02 | Sao Bento Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 31/01 | CA Votuporanguense Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Bandeirante
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Linense Brazil Paulista Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 21/03 | Rio Branco SP Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Catanduva FC Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 12/03 | EC Sao Bernardo Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/03 | Rio Claro Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/03 | Paulista FC Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 28/02 | Rio Preto Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 25/02 | Uniao Suzano Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 21/02 | AA Francana Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/02 | Itapirense Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gremio Prudente vs Bandeirante?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gremio Prudente win (52%). Probabilities: Gremio Prudente 52%, draw 28%, Bandeirante 19%.
How many goals are expected in Gremio Prudente vs Bandeirante?
The model expects 1.97 goals (Gremio Prudente 1.31 · Bandeirante 0.67), with a 57% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gremio Prudente vs Bandeirante?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.