Prediction: XV Piracicaba vs Noroeste
Team pages: XV Piracicaba · Noroeste
- XV Piracicaba1-1Noroeste
- Noroeste2-2XV Piracicaba
- XV Piracicaba5-2Noroeste
- Noroeste1-3XV Piracicaba
- Noroeste2-0XV Piracicaba
- XV Piracicaba2-0Noroeste
| XV Piracicaba | Draw | Noroeste | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 32% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 27% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours XV Piracicaba: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| XV Piracicaba | Noroeste | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7.7 | 2.8 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 5.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · XV Piracicaba 3–2–1 Noroeste
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 Brazil Serie D | XV Piracicaba | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Noroeste |
| 11/04/26 Brazil Serie D | Noroeste | 2-2 HT 0-0 | XV Piracicaba |
| 07/03/24 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 | XV Piracicaba | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Noroeste |
| 14/01/23 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2 | Noroeste | 1-3 HT 0-2 | XV Piracicaba |
| 05/10/21 Brazil Paulista Cup | Noroeste | 2-0 HT 1-0 | XV Piracicaba |
| 28/09/21 Brazil Paulista Cup | XV Piracicaba | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Noroeste |
Standings · Brazil Paulista Cup · Copa Paulista 2026, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comercial FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Uniao Sao Joao | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 3 | Noroeste | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 4 | XV Piracicaba | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | XV Piracicaba | Noroeste |
|---|---|---|
| Comercial FC | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Uniao Sao Joao | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Nova Iguacu | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Velo Clube SP | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Marica RJ | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Noroeste (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
XV Piracicaba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Comercial FC Brazil Paulista Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 23/07 | Uniao Sao Joao Brazil Paulista Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/07 | Cianorte Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Cianorte Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-4 | 14 | 7 | L |
| 27/06 | America RJ Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | America RJ Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Nova Iguacu Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Noroeste Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Velo Clube SP Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Marica RJ Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Noroeste
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Uniao Sao Joao Brazil Paulista Cup |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Comercial FC Brazil Paulista Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Portuguesa RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Portuguesa RJ Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Sampaio Correa RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | XV Piracicaba Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Nova Iguacu Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Velo Clube SP Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Marica RJ Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 02/05 | Marica RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in XV Piracicaba vs Noroeste?
According to our model, the most likely result is a XV Piracicaba win (45%). Probabilities: XV Piracicaba 45%, draw 29%, Noroeste 26%.
How many goals are expected in XV Piracicaba vs Noroeste?
The model expects 2.11 goals (XV Piracicaba 1.25 · Noroeste 0.86), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in XV Piracicaba vs Noroeste?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

