Football · Brazil Paulista Cup · 01/08, 23:00

Prediction: XV Piracicaba vs Noroeste

Team pages: XV Piracicaba · Noroeste

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
XV Piracicaba1.25
Noroeste0.86
1X2
45% 29% 26%
XV Piracicaba Draw Noroeste
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
XV Piracicaba 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
WDDLDWLDDL
Noroeste 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLDWDLLD
Head-to-head
XV Piracicaba 3–2–1 Noroeste (6 last)
  • XV Piracicaba1-1Noroeste
  • Noroeste2-2XV Piracicaba
  • XV Piracicaba5-2Noroeste
  • Noroeste1-3XV Piracicaba
  • Noroeste2-0XV Piracicaba
  • XV Piracicaba2-0Noroeste
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · XV Piracicaba 1484 · Noroeste 1503
XV PiracicabaDrawNoroeste
Our model44%32%24%
Market47%27%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours XV Piracicaba: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

XV PiracicabaNoroeste
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.11.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.8 / 7.72.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.25.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · XV Piracicaba 321 Noroeste

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/05/26
Brazil Serie D
XV Piracicaba1-1
HT 0-1
Noroeste
11/04/26
Brazil Serie D
Noroeste2-2
HT 0-0
XV Piracicaba
07/03/24
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
XV Piracicaba5-2
HT 2-1
Noroeste
14/01/23
Brazil Campeonato Paulista A2
Noroeste1-3
HT 0-2
XV Piracicaba
05/10/21
Brazil Paulista Cup
Noroeste2-0
HT 1-0
XV Piracicaba
28/09/21
Brazil Paulista Cup
XV Piracicaba2-0
HT 1-0
Noroeste

Standings · Brazil Paulista Cup · Copa Paulista 2026, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Comercial FC 2200 406
2 Uniao Sao Joao 2020 222
3 Noroeste 2011 241
4 XV Piracicaba 2011 021

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentXV PiracicabaNoroeste
Comercial FC 0-2 L 0-2 L
Uniao Sao Joao 0-0 D 2-2 D
Nova Iguacu 0-1 L 0-1 L
Velo Clube SP 1-1 D 3-0 W
Marica RJ 2-1 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Noroeste (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

XV Piracicaba

WDDLDWLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Comercial FC
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-1 0-2 123 L
23/07 Uniao Sao Joao
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-0 0-0 42 D
11/07 Cianorte
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 93 D
04/07 Cianorte
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-4 147 L
27/06 America RJ
Brazil Serie D
2-0 2-0 53 W
20/06 America RJ
Brazil Serie D
1-1 1-1 86 D
07/06 Nova Iguacu
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-1 45 L
30/05 Noroeste
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-1 74 D
24/05 Velo Clube SP
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 114 D
16/05 Marica RJ
Brazil Serie D
1-0 2-1 33 W

Noroeste

WWWLDWDLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 Uniao Sao Joao
Brazil Paulista Cup
1-0 2-2 23 D
18/07 Comercial FC
Brazil Paulista Cup
0-0 0-2 45 L
28/06 Portuguesa RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-2 1-3 76 L
21/06 Portuguesa RJ
Brazil Serie D
1-1 1-1 46 D
07/06 Sampaio Correa RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 64 W
30/05 XV Piracicaba
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-1 24 D
23/05 Nova Iguacu
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-1 116 L
16/05 Velo Clube SP
Brazil Serie D
0-0 3-0 66 W
09/05 Marica RJ
Brazil Serie D
2-0 3-0 38 W
02/05 Marica RJ
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 108 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in XV Piracicaba vs Noroeste?

According to our model, the most likely result is a XV Piracicaba win (45%). Probabilities: XV Piracicaba 45%, draw 29%, Noroeste 26%.

How many goals are expected in XV Piracicaba vs Noroeste?

The model expects 2.11 goals (XV Piracicaba 1.25 · Noroeste 0.86), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in XV Piracicaba vs Noroeste?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.