Prediction: Busan Trans Corp vs Gijang United
Expected goals: 2.94 (Busan Trans Corp 2.3 · Gijang United 0.65). The model gives 74% home, 17% draw, 9% away. Under 3 goals (53%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Recent form leaves Busan Trans Corp with 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Gijang United has piled up 4-2-4 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 1 wins for Busan Trans Corp and 0 for Gijang United.
| Busan Trans Corp | Draw | Gijang United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 18% | 8% |
| Market | 75% | 16% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Busan Trans Corp (rating 1552 vs 1498).
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Busan Trans Corp | Gijang United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.8 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Busan Trans Corp 1–0–0 Gijang United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/26 South Korea K3/K4 Championship | Gijang United | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Busan Trans Corp |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Busan Trans Corp
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Yeoju South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Pocheon Citizen FC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/05 | Gijang United South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Chuncheon FC South Korea K3 League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Yeoju South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Mokpo City South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Pyeongchang United South Korea League Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
Gijang United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 27/05 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Sejong SA South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Geumsan Insam South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Busan Trans Corp vs Gijang United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Busan Trans Corp win (74%). Probabilities: Busan Trans Corp 74%, draw 17%, Gijang United 9%.
How many goals are expected in Busan Trans Corp vs Gijang United?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Busan Trans Corp 2.3 · Gijang United 0.65), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Busan Trans Corp vs Gijang United?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.