Prediction: Pyeongtaek Citizen FC vs Yeoju
Expected goals: 2.66 (Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 0.75 · Yeoju 1.91). The model gives 14% home, 21% draw, 65% away. Over 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 0-2.
Over its last 10 matches, Pyeongtaek Citizen FC sits at 1-2-7 (W-D-L), while Yeoju arrives on a 3-4-3 run. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Pyeongtaek Citizen FC won 2 and Yeoju 2.
| Pyeongtaek Citizen FC | Draw | Yeoju | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 23% | 64% |
| Market | 15% | 19% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yeoju (rating 1392 vs 1508).
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pyeongtaek Citizen FC | Yeoju | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.6 | 1.5 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 2–0–2 Yeoju
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/23 South Korea K4 League | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Yeoju |
| 15/04/23 South Korea K4 League | Yeoju | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC |
| 20/08/22 South Korea K4 League | Yeoju | 7-4 HT 5-0 | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC |
| 24/04/22 South Korea K4 League | Pyeongtaek Citizen FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Yeoju |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pyeongtaek Citizen FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Seoul Jungnang FC South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 21/06 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Haman South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Jincheon HR South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Pyeongchang United South Korea K4 League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Geoje Citizen FC South Korea K4 League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Sejong SA South Korea K4 League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 06/05 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Namyangju FC South Korea K4 League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Jecheon Citizen South Korea K4 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
Yeoju
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Changwon City South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Yangpyeong FC South Korea K3 League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 14/06 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Siheung City AC South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Daejeon Korail South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Sejong SA South Korea K3/K4 Championship |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Gyeongju HNP South Korea K3 League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Busan Trans Corp South Korea K3 League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea K3 League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Jeonbuk Motors II South Korea League Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pyeongtaek Citizen FC vs Yeoju?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Yeoju win (65%). Probabilities: Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 14%, draw 21%, Yeoju 65%.
How many goals are expected in Pyeongtaek Citizen FC vs Yeoju?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Pyeongtaek Citizen FC 0.75 · Yeoju 1.91), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Pyeongtaek Citizen FC vs Yeoju?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.