Football · Bulgaria First League · 02/08, 20:15
Prediction: CSKA Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
CSKA Sofia2.07
Dunav Ruse0.4
1X2
CSKA Sofia
Draw
Dunav Ruse
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
CSKA Sofia
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Dunav Ruse
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSKA Sofia
5–1–0
Dunav Ruse
(6 last)
- CSKA Sofia3-1Dunav Ruse
- CSKA Sofia4-0Dunav Ruse
- Dunav Ruse1-1CSKA Sofia
- Dunav Ruse0-2CSKA Sofia
- CSKA Sofia3-0Dunav Ruse
- Dunav Ruse0-2CSKA Sofia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSKA Sofia 1556 · Dunav Ruse 1475
| CSKA Sofia | Draw | Dunav Ruse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 18% | 5% |
| Market | 77% | 17% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSKA Sofia (rating 1556 vs 1475).
- H2H favours CSKA Sofia: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSKA Sofia | Dunav Ruse | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.4 / 7.7 | 2.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSKA Sofia 5–1–0 Dunav Ruse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Club Friendly List | CSKA Sofia | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Dunav Ruse |
| 14/12/19 Bulgaria First League | CSKA Sofia | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Dunav Ruse |
| 25/08/19 Bulgaria First League | Dunav Ruse | 1-1 HT 1-0 | CSKA Sofia |
| 24/11/18 Bulgaria First League | Dunav Ruse | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CSKA Sofia |
| 05/08/18 Bulgaria First League | CSKA Sofia | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Dunav Ruse |
| 05/03/18 Bulgaria First League | Dunav Ruse | 0-2 HT 0-1 | CSKA Sofia |
Standings · Bulgaria First League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Arda Kardzhali | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Ludogorets Razgrad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Cherno More Varna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 7 | Botev Vratsa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | CSKA Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Slavia Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Spartak Varna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Septemvri Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Dunav Ruse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSKA Sofia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | FK Qarabag UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 20/07 | Slavia Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 16/07 | Derry City UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/07 | Derry City UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | Marek Dupnitsa Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | Odra Opole Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-2 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 24/06 | Polissya Zhytomyr Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | NK Brinje Grosuplje Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 25/05 | Ludogorets Razgrad Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 8 | D |
Dunav Ruse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Levski Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Cherno More Varna Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/07 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | Spartak Varna Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 20/06 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Minyor Pernik Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 02/05 | FC Sevlievo Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSKA Sofia vs Dunav Ruse?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CSKA Sofia win (77%). Probabilities: CSKA Sofia 77%, draw 18%, Dunav Ruse 6%.
How many goals are expected in CSKA Sofia vs Dunav Ruse?
The model expects 2.47 goals (CSKA Sofia 2.07 · Dunav Ruse 0.4), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CSKA Sofia vs Dunav Ruse?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.