Football · Bulgaria First League · 08/08, 17:00

Prediction: Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia

Team pages: Botev Vratsa · Slavia Sofia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.23Total

Botev Vratsa1.26

Slavia Sofia0.97

1X2

42% 30% 28%

Botev Vratsa Draw Slavia Sofia

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Botev Vratsa 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWDWDWDL

Slavia Sofia 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWDLD

Head-to-head

Botev Vratsa 2–2–2 Slavia Sofia (6 last)

Slavia Sofia1-1Botev Vratsa
Botev Vratsa0-1Slavia Sofia
Slavia Sofia2-2Botev Vratsa
Botev Vratsa2-1Slavia Sofia
Slavia Sofia4-2Botev Vratsa
Botev Vratsa3-2Slavia Sofia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Botev Vratsa 1524 · Slavia Sofia 1501

	Botev Vratsa	Draw	Slavia Sofia
Our model	42%	31%	27%
Market	43%	29%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Botev Vratsa	Slavia Sofia
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.9	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	33/44/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 2.9	2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.20

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:35 +6’	2.15	3.20	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Botev Vratsa 2–2–2 Slavia Sofia

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Bulgaria First League	Slavia Sofia	1-1 HT 1-0	Botev Vratsa
24/11/25 Bulgaria First League	Botev Vratsa	0-1 HT 0-0	Slavia Sofia
20/07/25 Bulgaria First League	Slavia Sofia	2-2 HT 0-2	Botev Vratsa
25/05/25 Bulgaria First League	Botev Vratsa	2-1 HT 1-1	Slavia Sofia
14/04/25 Bulgaria First League	Slavia Sofia	4-2 HT 1-0	Botev Vratsa
01/11/24 Bulgaria First League	Botev Vratsa	3-2 HT 0-1	Slavia Sofia

Standings · Bulgaria First League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	3	3	0	0	7	2	9
2	CSKA 1948 Sofia	3	2	1	0	6	4	7
3	Ludogorets Razgrad	2	2	0	0	3	0	6
4	CSKA Sofia	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
5	Spartak Varna	2	1	1	0	5	2	4
6	Arda Kardzhali	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
7	Botev Plovdiv	3	1	1	1	4	4	4
8	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
9	Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
10	Slavia Sofia	3	0	2	1	1	2	2
11	Botev Vratsa	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
12	Cherno More Varna	3	0	1	2	1	5	1
13	Septemvri Sofia	3	0	1	2	2	6	1
14	Dunav Ruse	2	0	0	2	1	4	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Botev Vratsa	Slavia Sofia
Arda Kardzhali	1-0 W	0-1 L
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	2-1 W	0-2 L
Montana	1-0 W	7-2 W
Septemvri Sofia	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Botev Vratsa

DWWWDWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League	0-1	1-2	5	1	L
19/07	Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
10/07	Arda Kardzhali Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
03/07	Beitar Jerusalem Europe Friendlies	2-2	2-2	3	6	D
01/07	Spartak Pleven Club Friendly List	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
27/06	Levski Sofia Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
22/05	Beroe Bulgaria First League	1-0	3-0	0	5	W
18/05	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria First League	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
14/05	Montana Bulgaria First League	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
10/05	Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League	0-0	1-1	3	4	D

Slavia Sofia

WLLLWWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League	1-1	1-1	5	5	D
24/07	Arda Kardzhali Bulgaria First League	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
20/07	CSKA Sofia Bulgaria First League	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
11/07	Montana Europe Friendlies	3-0	7-2	6	1	W
08/07	CSM Slatina Club Friendly List	–	3-2	–	–	W
22/05	Montana Bulgaria First League	1-0	2-0	4	0	W
18/05	Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
13/05	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria First League	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
10/05	Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League	1-1	1-2	4	5	L
06/05	Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League	1-0	2-1	2	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Botev Vratsa win (42%). Probabilities: Botev Vratsa 42%, draw 30%, Slavia Sofia 28%.

How many goals are expected in Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia?

The model expects 2.23 goals (Botev Vratsa 1.26 · Slavia Sofia 0.97), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Botev Vratsa vs Slavia Sofia?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.