Football · Bulgaria First League · 02/08, 18:00
Prediction: Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Vratsa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Ludogorets Razgrad2.01
Botev Vratsa0.37
1X2
Ludogorets Razgrad
Draw
Botev Vratsa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Ludogorets Razgrad
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Botev Vratsa
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ludogorets Razgrad
6–0
Botev Vratsa
(6 last)
- Ludogorets Razgrad2-0Botev Vratsa
- Botev Vratsa0-1Ludogorets Razgrad
- Ludogorets Razgrad2-0Botev Vratsa
- Botev Vratsa0-1Ludogorets Razgrad
- Ludogorets Razgrad3-0Botev Vratsa
- Ludogorets Razgrad2-0Botev Vratsa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ludogorets Razgrad 1535 · Botev Vratsa 1534
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Draw | Botev Vratsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 19% | 5% |
| Market | 77% | 17% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Ludogorets Razgrad: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ludogorets Razgrad | Botev Vratsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.2 | 1.8 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ludogorets Razgrad 6–0–0 Botev Vratsa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/25 Bulgaria First League | Ludogorets Razgrad | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Botev Vratsa |
| 25/07/25 Bulgaria First League | Botev Vratsa | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 23/04/25 Bulgaria Cup | Ludogorets Razgrad | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Botev Vratsa |
| 10/04/25 Bulgaria Cup | Botev Vratsa | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 15/03/25 Bulgaria First League | Ludogorets Razgrad | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Botev Vratsa |
| 29/09/24 Bulgaria First League | Ludogorets Razgrad | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Botev Vratsa |
Standings · Bulgaria First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Arda Kardzhali | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Ludogorets Razgrad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Cherno More Varna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 7 | Botev Vratsa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | CSKA Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Slavia Sofia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Spartak Varna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Septemvri Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Dunav Ruse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ludogorets Razgrad | Botev Vratsa |
|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| CSKA 1948 Sofia | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Levski Sofia | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ludogorets Razgrad (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ludogorets Razgrad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Hapoel Tel Aviv UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/07 | Teuta Durres Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/07 | Septemvri Sofia Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Botosani Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 26/06 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Club Friendly List |
5-2 | 7-4 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 29/05 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 25/05 | CSKA Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 13/05 | Levski Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Botev Vratsa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/07 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 10/07 | Arda Kardzhali Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | Beitar Jerusalem Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 01/07 | Spartak Pleven Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Levski Sofia Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | Beroe Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 18/05 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | Montana Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Vratsa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ludogorets Razgrad win (77%). Probabilities: Ludogorets Razgrad 77%, draw 18%, Botev Vratsa 6%.
How many goals are expected in Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Vratsa?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Ludogorets Razgrad 2.01 · Botev Vratsa 0.37), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Vratsa?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.