Football · Italy Serie A · 29/08, 18:30

Prediction: Sassuolo vs Torino

Team pages: Sassuolo · Torino

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Sassuolo1.53
Torino1.36
1X2
40% 28% 32%
Sassuolo Draw Torino
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sassuolo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LDWLWDWLLL
Torino 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLWWDDLWLD
Head-to-head
Sassuolo 1–2–3 Torino (6 last)
  • Torino2-1Sassuolo
  • Sassuolo0-1Torino
  • Sassuolo1-1Torino
  • Torino2-1Sassuolo
  • Sassuolo1-1Torino
  • Torino0-1Sassuolo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sassuolo 1484 · Torino 1559
SassuoloDrawTorino
Our model40%27%33%
Market40%28%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Torino (rating 1484 vs 1559).
  • H2H favours Torino: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

SassuoloTorino
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.21.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.51.9 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.33.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sassuolo 123 Torino

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/05/26
Italy Serie A
Torino2-1
HT 0-0
Sassuolo
21/12/25
Italy Serie A
Sassuolo0-1
HT 0-0
Torino
10/02/24
Italy Serie A
Sassuolo1-1
HT 1-1
Torino
06/11/23
Italy Serie A
Torino2-1
HT 1-1
Sassuolo
03/04/23
Italy Serie A
Sassuolo1-1
HT 1-0
Torino
17/09/22
Italy Serie A
Torino0-1
HT 0-0
Sassuolo

Standings · Italy Serie A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Inter Milan 1100 413
2 Napoli 1100 203
3 Cagliari 1100 103
4 Como 1010 111
4 Udinese 1010 111
6 AC Milan 0000 000
6 Fiorentina 0000 000
6 Roma 0000 000
6 Atalanta 0000 000
6 Bologna 0000 000
6 Frosinone 0000 000
6 Juventus 0000 000
6 Lazio 0000 000
6 Sassuolo 0000 000
6 Torino 0000 000
6 Lecce 0000 000
6 Venezia 0000 000
18 Parma 1001 010
19 Genoa 1001 020
20 Monza 1001 140

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSassuoloTorino
Parma 0-1 L 4-1 W
AC Milan 2-0 W 2-3 L
Cagliari 2-1 W 1-2 L
Juventus 1-1 D 2-2 D
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sassuolo (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sassuolo

LDWLWDWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/05 Parma
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-1 14 L
17/05 Lecce
Italy Serie A
1-2 2-3 25 L
08/05 Torino
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-2 56 L
03/05 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
1-0 2-0 28 W
26/04 Fiorentina
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 43 D
17/04 Como
Italy Serie A
2-1 2-1 56 W
12/04 Genoa
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-2 37 L
04/04 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
0-1 2-1 21 W
21/03 Juventus
Italy Serie A
0-1 1-1 43 D
15/03 Bologna
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-1 73 L

Torino

WLWWDDLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/05 Juventus
Italy Serie A
0-1 2-2 63 D
17/05 Cagliari
Italy Serie A
1-2 1-2 12 L
08/05 Sassuolo
Italy Serie A
0-0 2-1 76 W
02/05 Udinese
Italy Serie A
0-1 0-2 22 L
26/04 Inter Milan
Italy Serie A
0-1 2-2 53 D
19/04 Cremonese
Italy Serie A
0-0 0-0 13 D
11/04 Verona
Italy Serie A
1-1 2-1 35 W
05/04 Pisa
Italy Serie A
0-0 1-0 21 W
21/03 AC Milan
Italy Serie A
1-1 2-3 64 L
13/03 Parma
Italy Serie A
1-1 4-1 24 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sassuolo vs Torino?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sassuolo win (40%). Probabilities: Sassuolo 40%, draw 28%, Torino 32%.

How many goals are expected in Sassuolo vs Torino?

The model expects 2.89 goals (Sassuolo 1.53 · Torino 1.36), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Torino?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.